Punjabi: Russia and Ukraine War Like Situation

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Dalvinder Singh Grewal

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Jan 3, 2010
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Putin's war have not gone as per plans. Earlier he has been taking over other neighbors easily without no or negligible resistance. This time too he thought that there wont be much resistance to his advance. However Zelensky's sturdiness and West's support in the form of information campaign, cyber campaign with star link, economic war with rest5rictions on Russia in almost everything, weapons etc., have created obstacles which have dragged the war to now two months and may be beyond. His biggest failure was caused due to failure of attack on Kyiv and stiff resistance in two major cities in Donbas area the two states he wanted to liberate from the control of Ukraine. How long the war will last now is difficult to imagine.
 

A_seeker

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Jun 6, 2018
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This is how diplomacy is done , Approach everyone ,keep communications open and relations transparent on interests ..

Screenshot_20220515-141803-812.png
 

Dalvinder Singh Grewal

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Jan 3, 2010
969
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Indian diplomacy should have been successful if it worked for direct communication with Zelenski and Putin and mediated to end the war since Mr. Modi was in close communication with both. This would have caused better favor for both Zelenski and Putin and for the world since this war is causing untold miseries, uncertainties and bleak future with the world. It is cleaner that in modern wars no one gains and there is always a fear of escalation to atomic and global war which shall cause destruction and nothing else. We must work hard for peace for the benefit of all.

Latest on the Russia Ukraine war:
Ukraine's forces were fighting off a fierce Russian onslaught on the east of the country Sunday.
The front lines in the Ukraine war had shifted on Sunday as Russia made some advances in the fiercely contested eastern Donbas region and the Ukrainian military waged a counteroffensive near the strategic Russian-held city of Izium. In the west of Ukraine near the Polish border, missiles destroyed military infrastructure overnight and were fired at the Lviv region from the Black Sea, Ukrainian officials said. Stay with TOI for all updates.

Finland's government says it has decided to apply for NATO membership, reports AP

Ukrainian foreign minister Dmytro Kuleba said he met US Secretary of State Antony Blinken in Berlin on Sunday and that "more weapons and other aid is on the way to Ukraine".

Russian troops are now retreating from Kharkiv, the country's second-largest city, after bombarding it for weeks, and Moscow's forces continue to engaged in a grinding battle for the country's eastern industrial heartland. After retreating from Kyiv this is the second major city wherefrom Russians are retreating.
 

Dalvinder Singh Grewal

Writer
Historian
SPNer
Jan 3, 2010
969
412
77
ਭਾਰਤ ਰੂਸ ਦਾ ਪੱਖ ਕਿਊਂ ਲੈ ਰਿਹਾ ਹੈ?
ਡਾ: ਦਲਵਿੰਦਰ ਸਿੰਘ ਗ੍ਰੁyਵਾਲ


ਭਾਰਤ ਅਮਰੀਕਾ ਤੇ ਨਾਟੋ ਦੇਸ਼ਾਂ ਦੇ ਲਗਾਤਾਰ ਦਬਾ ਥਲੇ ਨਾ ਆ ਕੇ ਰੂਸ ਦਾ ਪੱਖ ਪੂਰ ਰਿਹਾ ਜਾਪਦਾ ਹੈ। ਇਸ ਬਾਰੇ ਕਈ ਦੇਸ਼ ਖਾਸ ਕਰਕੇ ਪੱਛਮੀ ਦੇਸ਼ ਬੜਾ ਹੱਲਾ ਹੂ ਕਰ ਰਹੇ ਹਨ ।ਇਸ ਨੂੰ ਸਮਝਣ ਲਈ ਉਨ੍ਹਾਂ ਨੂੰ ਇਸ ਦੇ ਪਿਛੋਕੜ ਸੰਨ 1971 ਦੇ ਯੁੱਧ ਤੇ ਝਾਤ ਮਾਰਨੀ ਜ਼ਰੂਰੀ ਹੈ।

ਅਸਲ ਪਿਛੋਕੜ ਦਸੰਬਰ 1971 ਦੇ ਯੁੱਧ ਤੋਂ ਪਹਿਲਾਂ ਤੋਂ ਸ਼ੁਰੂ ਹੁੰਦਾ ਹੈ।ਅਸਲ ਵਿੱਚ 1971 ਦਾ ਯੁੱਧ ਪੂਰਬੀ ਅਤੇ ਪੱਛਮੀ ਪਾਕਿਸਤਾਨ ਵਿਚਕਾਰ ਸੀ। ਪੂਰਬੀ ਪਾਕਿਸਤਾਨ (ਮੌਜੂਦਾ ਬੰਗਲਾਦੇਸ਼) ਬੰਗਾਲੀ ਬਹੁਗਿਣਤੀ ਵਾਲਾ ਸੀ ਪਰ ਪੱਛਮੀ ਪਾਕਿਸਤਾਨ ਦੇ ਸਿਆਸਤਦਾਨਾਂ ਨੇ ਬੰਗਾਲੀ ਭਾਸ਼ਾ ਬੋਲਣ ਵਾਲੇ ਪੂਰਬੀ ਪਾਕਿਸਤਾਨੀਆਂ ਬਾਰੇ ਸੋਚੇ ਬਿਨਾਂ ਉਰਦੂ ਨੂੰ ਸਰਕਾਰੀ ਭਾਸ਼ਾ ਬਣਾ ਦਿੱਤਾ। ਇੰਨਾ ਹੀ ਨਹੀਂ ਪੂਰਬੀ ਪਾਕਿਸਤਾਨ ਦੇ ਨੇਤਾਵਾਂ ਨੂੰ ਪੱਛਮੀ ਪਾਕਿਸਤਾਨੀ (ਮੌਜੂਦਾ ਪਾਕਿਸਤਾਨ) ਜਿੰਨੀ ਮਹੱਤਤਾ ਨਹੀਂ ਮਿਲ ਰਹੀ ਸੀ। ਪੂਰਬੀ ਪਾਕਿਸਤਾਨ ਸਰੋਤਾਂ ਨਾਲ ਭਰਪੂਰ ਸੀ ਪਰ ਇਨ੍ਹਾਂ ਵਸੀਲਿਆਂ ਦੀ ਵਰਤੋਂ ਪੂਰਬੀ ਪਾਕਿਸਤਾਨ ਨਾਲੋਂ ਪੱਛਮੀ ਪਾਕਿਸਤਾਨ 'ਤੇ ਕੀਤੀ ਜਾ ਰਹੀ ਸੀ ਅਤੇ ਪੂਰਬੀ ਪਾਕਿਸਤਾਨ ਨਾਲੋਂ ਪੱਛਮੀ ਪਾਕਿਸਤਾਨ 'ਤੇ ਪੈਸਾ ਜ਼ਿਆਦਾ ਖਰਚਿਆ ਜਾ ਰਿਹਾ ਸੀ। ਇਸ ਨਾਲ ਪੂਰਬੀ ਪਾਕਿਸਤਾਨ ਦੇ ਲੋਕ ਨਾਰਾਜ਼ ਹੋ ਗਏ ਸਨ। ਜਦੋਂ ਪੂਰਬੀ ਪਾਕਿਸਤਾਨ ਨੇ ਇਸ 'ਤੇ ਚਿੰਤਾ ਜ਼ਾਹਰ ਕੀਤੀ ਤਾਂ ਪਾਕਿਸਤਾਨੀ ਫੌਜ ਨੇ ਨਾ ਸਿਰਫ ਪੂਰਬੀ ਪਾਕਿਸਤਾਨ ਦੇ ਬੇਕਸੂਰ ਲੋਕਾਂ ਦਾ ਕਤਲੇਆਮ ਕੀਤਾ ਸਗੋਂ ਉਨ੍ਹਾਂ ਦੀਆਂ ਔਰਤਾਂ ਨਾਲ ਬਲਾਤਕਾਰ ਵੀ ਕੀਤਾ। ਪਾਕਿਸਤਾਨੀ ਸੈਨਿਕਾਂ ਨੇ ਪੂਰਬੀ ਪਾਕਿਸਤਾਨ ਵਿੱਚ ਬੇਰਹਿਮੀ ਦੀਆਂ ਸਾਰੀਆਂ ਹੱਦਾਂ ਪਾਰ ਕਰ ਦਿੱਤੀਆਂ ।

ਅਜਿਹੇ ਕਤਲੇਆਮ ਕਾਰਨ ਬੰਗਲਾਦੇਸ਼ੀ (ਉਸ ਸਮੇਂ ਪੂਰਬੀ ਪਾਕਿਸਤਾਨ) ਦੇ ਸ਼ਰਨਾਰਥੀ ਭਾਰਤ ਵਿੱਚ ਆਉਣ ਲੱਗੇ। ਜਦੋਂ ਇਹ ਗਿਣਤੀ ਲੱਖਾਂ ਤੋਂ ਵੱਧ ਹੋ ਗਈ ਤਾਂ ਇਹ ਭਾਰਤ ਲਈ ਆਰਥਿਕ ਅਤੇ ਮਾਨਵੀ ਚਿੰਤਾ ਦਾ ਵਿਸ਼ਾ ਬਣ ਗਿਆ। ਸ਼ਰਨਾਰਥੀ ਬਚਾਉਣਾ ਭਾਰਤ ਦਾ ਨੈਤਿਕ ਫਰਜ਼ ਸੀ। ਤਤਕਾਲੀ ਪ੍ਰਧਾਨ ਮੰਤਰੀ ਇੰਦਰਾ ਗਾਂਧੀ ਨੇ ਫੀਲਡ ਮਾਰਸ਼ਲ ਸੈਮ ਮਾਨੇਕਸ਼ਾ ਨੂੰ ਪੂਰਬੀ ਪਾਕਿਸਤਾਨ 'ਤੇ ਹਮਲਾ ਕਰਨ ਲਈ ਕਿਹਾ ਪਰ ਉਨ੍ਹਾਂ ਨੇ ਇਨਕਾਰ ਕਰ ਦਿੱਤਾ ਅਤੇ ਕਿਹਾ ਕਿ ਉਹ ਸਹੀ ਸਮੇਂ 'ਤੇ ਅਜਿਹਾ ਕਰਨਗੇ।ਪਰ ਇਸ ਤੋਂ ਪਹਿਲਾਂ ਸਾਨੂੰ ਵਿਦੇਸ਼ਾਂ ਵਿਚ ਇਸ ਦਾ ਪ੍ਰਚਾਰ ਕਰਕੇ ਮਦਦ ਲੈ ਲੈਣੀ ਚਾਹੀਦੀ ਹੈ। ਪ੍ਰਧਾਨ ਮੰਤਰੀ ਇੰਦਰਾ ਗਾਂਧੀ ਨੇ ਇਸ ਲਈ ਅਮਰੀਕਾ ਦਾ ਦੌਰਾ ਕੀਤਾ ਪਰ ਰਾਸ਼ਟਰਪਤੀ ਨਿਕਸਨ ਨੇ ਭਾਰਤ ਪ੍ਰਤੀ ਕੋਈ ਸਮਰਥਨ ਨਹੀਂ ਦਿਖਾਇਆ। ਇਸ ਨੇ ਪ੍ਰਧਾਨ ਮੰਤਰੀ ਇੰਦਰਾ ਗਾਂਧੀ ਨੂੰ ਸੋਵੀਅਤ ਸੰਘ ਨਾਲ ਰੱਖਿਆ ਸੰਧੀ ਕਰਨ ਲਈ ਮਜਬੂਰ ਕੀਤਾ।

ਅਮਰੀਕਾ ਨੇ ਪਾਕਿਸਤਾਨ ਦੀ ਮਦਦ ਕੀਤੀ ਕਿਉਂਕਿ ਉਹ ਸੋਚਦੇ ਸਨ ਕਿ ਜੇਕਰ ਭਾਰਤ ਸੋਵੀਅਤ ਸੰਘ ਦੀ ਮਦਦ ਨਾਲ ਜੰਗ ਜਿੱਤ ਗਿਆ ਤਾਂ ਦੱਖਣੀ ਏਸ਼ੀਆ ਦੇ ਨਾਲ ਨਾਲ ਦੱਖਣ ਪੂਰਬੀ ਏਸ਼ੀਆ ਵਿੱਚ ਸੋਵੀਅਤ ਸੰਘ ਦਾ ਪ੍ਰਭਾਵ ਵਧੇਗਾ। ਇਸ ਤੋਂ ਇਲਾਵਾ ਪਾਕਿਸਤਾਨ ਅਮਰੀਕਾ ਦਾ ਵੱਡਾ ਗੈਰ-ਨਾਟੋ ਸਹਿਯੋਗੀ ਸੀ। ਸ਼ੀਤ ਯੁੱਧ ਦੌਰਾਨ ਪਾਕਿਸਤਾਨ ਅਮਰੀਕਾ ਦੇ ਨਾਲ ਸੀ।

ਪਾਕਿਸਤਾਨ ਨੂੰ ਅਮਰੀਕਾ, ਯੂ.ਕੇ., ਫਰਾਂਸ, ਯੂ.ਏ.ਈ., ਜਾਰਡਨ, ਤੁਰਕੀ, ਈਰਾਨ, ਸ਼੍ਰੀਲੰਕਾ, ਸਾਊਦੀ ਅਰਬ ਵਰਗੇ ਕਈ ਦੇਸ਼ਾਂ ਨੇ ਸਮਰਥਨ ਦਿੱਤਾ ਜਾਰਡਨ, ਤੁਰਕੀ, ਈਰਾਨ, ਯੂਏਈ ਅਤੇ ਫਰਾਂਸ ਨੇ ਭਾਰਤੀ ਹਵਾਈ ਸੈਨਾ ਦੇ ਖਿਲਾਫ ਪਾਕਿਸਤਾਨੀ ਹਵਾਈ ਸੈਨਾ ਨੂੰ ਆਪਣੇ ਹਵਾਈ ਜਹਾਜ਼ਾਂ ਦਾ ਸਮਰਥਨ ਦਿੱਤਾ ਹੈ। ਇੰਡੋਨੇਸ਼ੀਆ ਨੇ ਭਾਰਤ ਨਾਲ ਲੜਨ ਲਈ ਪਾਕਿਸਤਾਨ ਨੂੰ ਜਲ ਸੈਨਾ ਦਾ ਜਹਾਜ਼ ਦਿੱਤਾ। ਸ੍ਰੀਲੰਕਾ ਨੇ ਪਾਕਿਸਤਾਨੀ ਹਵਾਈ ਜਹਾਜ਼ਾਂ ਨੂੰ ਸ੍ਰੀਲੰਕਾ ਦੇ ਹਵਾਈ ਅੱਡੇ 'ਤੇ ਤੇਲ ਭਰਨ ਦੀ ਇਜਾਜ਼ਤ ਦੇ ਕੇ ਪਾਕਿਸਤਾਨ ਦੀ ਮਦਦ ਕੀਤੀ। ਚੀਨ ਵੀ ਸਮਰਥਨ ਕਰਨਾ ਚਾਹੁੰਦਾ ਸੀ ਪਰ ਸੋਵੀਅਤ ਸੰਘ ਕਾਰਨ; ਚੀਨ ਨੇ ਭਾਰਤ 'ਤੇ ਹਮਲਾ ਕਰਨ ਦੀ ਹਿੰਮਤ ਨਹੀਂ ਕੀਤੀ ਅਤੇ ਨਾ ਹੀ ਪਾਕਿਸਤਾਨ ਦੀ ਮਦਦ ਕਰਨ ਦੀ ਕੋਸ਼ਿਸ਼ ਕੀਤੀ। ਅਤੇ ਇਹ ਸਿਰਫ ਸੋਵੀਅਤ ਸੰਘ ਸੀ ਜਿਸ ਨੇ ਅਮਰੀਕੀ ਜਹਾਜ਼ਾਂ, ਅਤੇ ਯੂ.ਕੇ. ਦੀ ਰਾਇਲ ਨੇਵੀ ਨੂੰ ਭਾਰਤ 'ਤੇ ਹਮਲਾ ਕਰਨ ਤੋਂ ਰੋਕਿਆ ਸੀ।

ਅਮਰੀਕਾ ਨੇ ਭਾਰਤ ਵਿਰੁੱਧ ਜਲ ਸੈਨਾ ਦਾ ਬੇੜਾ ਕਿਉਂ ਭੇਜਿਆ? ਕਈ ਦੇਸ਼ਾਂ ਦੀ ਹਮਾਇਤ ਤੋਂ ਬਾਅਦ ਵੀ ਪਾਕਿਸਤਾਨੀ ਫੌਜਾਂ ਜੰਗ ਹਾਰਨ ਵਾਲੀਆਂ ਸਨ। ਇਸ ਨੂੰ ਦੇਖ ਕੇ ਅਮਰੀਕਾ ਸੰਘਰਸ਼ ਵਿਚ ਸਿੱਧਾ ਦਖਲ ਦੇਣਾ ਚਾਹੁੰਦਾ ਸੀ। ਪਾਕਿਸਤਾਨ ਨੂੰ ਭਾਰਤ ਤੋਂ ਬਚਾਉਣ ਲਈ ਅਮਰੀਕਾ ਨੇ ਬੰਗਾਲ ਦੀ ਖਾੜੀ 'ਚ ਆਪਣੀ ਨੇਵੀ ਦਾ 7ਵਾਂ ਬੇੜਾ ਭੇਜਿਆ । ਉਸੇ ਸਮੇਂ ਯੂ.ਕੇ. ਨੇ ਵੀ ਅਰਬ ਸਾਗਰ ਵਿੱਚ ਆਪਣਾ ਇੱਕ ਨੇਵੀ ਬੇੜਾ ਭੇਜਿਆ। ਉਹ ਦੋਵੇਂ ਭਾਰਤ 'ਤੇ ਹਮਲਾ ਕਰਨਾ ਚਾਹੁੰਦੇ ਸਨ ਪਰ ਪ੍ਰਧਾਨ ਮੰਤਰੀ ਇੰਦਰਾ ਗਾਂਧੀ ਕਾਫ਼ੀ ਚੁਸਤ ਨਿਕਲੀ। ਉਸਨੇ ਸੋਵੀਅਤ ਸੰਘ ਨਾਲ ਰੱਖਿਆ ਸੰਧੀ ਪਹਿਲਾਂ ਹੀ ਕਰ ਲਈ ।

ਸੋਵੀਅਤ ਸੰਘ ਦੀ ਖੁਫੀਆ ਜਾਣਕਾਰੀ ਰਾਹੀਂ ਪਤਾ ਲੱਗਿਆ ਕਿ ਰਾਇਲ ਨੇਵੀ ਦਾ ਏਅਰਕ੍ਰਾਫਟ ਕੈਰੀਅਰ ਈਗਲ ਅਰਬ ਸਾਗਰ ਵੱਲ ਆ ਰਿਹਾ ਹੈ। ਇਸ ਲਈ ਸੋਵੀਅਤ ਸੰਘ ਨੇ ਅਮਰੀਕੀ ਅਤੇ ਰਾਇਲ ਨੇਵੀ ਦਾ ਮੁਕਾਬਲਾ ਕਰਨ ਲਈ ਆਪਣਾ 10ਵਾਂ ਪ੍ਰਮਾਣੂ ਪਣਡੁੱਬੀਆਂ ਨਾਲ ਲੈਸ ਸਮੁੰਦਰੀ ਬੇੜਾ ਭੇਜਿਆ। 13 ਦਸੰਬਰ 1971 ਨੂੰ ਸੋਵੀਅਤ ਸੰਘ ਦੀ ਜਲ ਸੈਨਾ ਬੰਗਾਲ ਦੀ ਖਾੜੀ ਅਤੇ ਅਰਬ ਸਾਗਰ ਵਿੱਚ ਆ ਗਈ ਅਤੇ 14 ਦਸੰਬਰ ਨੂੰ ਰਾਇਲ ਨੇਵੀ ਏਅਰਕ੍ਰਾਫਟ ਕੈਰੀਅਰ ਈਗਲ ਅਤੇ ਅਮਰੀਕਾ ਨੇਵੀ ਦਾ 7ਵਾਂ ਬੇੜਾ ਕ੍ਰਮਵਾਰ ਅਰਬ ਸਾਗਰ ਅਤੇ ਬੰਗਾਲ ਦੀ ਖਾੜੀ ਦੇ ਨੇੜੇ ਆ ਪਹੁੰਚੇ। ਪਰ ਜਦੋਂ ਉਨ੍ਹਾਂ ਨੇ ਰੂਸੀ/ਸੋਵੀਅਤ ਨੇਵੀ ਨੂੰ ਪ੍ਰਮਾਣੂ ਪਣਡੁੱਬੀਆਂ ਨਾਲ ਭਾਰਤ ਦੀ ਰੱਖਿਆ ਕਰਦੇ ਦੇਖਿਆ ਤਾਂ ਇੰਗਲੈਂਡ ਦਾ ਰਾਇਲ ਏਅਰਕ੍ਰਾਫਟ ਕੈਰੀਅਰ ਈਗਲ ਮੈਡਾਗਾਸਕਰ ਵੱਲ ਮੁੜ ਗਿਆ ਅਤੇ ਅਮਰੀਕਾ ਦਾ 7ਵਾਂ ਫਲੀਟ ਵਾਪਸ ਆ ਗਿਆ।

ਹਾਲਾਂਕਿ ਅਮਰੀਕਾ ਨੇਵੀ ਦੇ 7ਵੇਂ ਬੇੜੇ ਦੀ ਅਗਵਾਈ ਪ੍ਰਮਾਣੂ ਸੰਚਾਲਿਤ ਏਅਰਕ੍ਰਾਫਟ ਕੈਰੀਅਰ ਯੂਐਸਐਸ ਐਂਟਰਪ੍ਰਾਈਜ਼ ਦੁਆਰਾ ਕੀਤੀ ਜਾ ਰਹੀ ਸੀ ਜਿਸ ਵਿੱਚ ਕਈ ਪ੍ਰਮਾਣੂ ਸੰਚਾਲਿਤ ਪਣਡੁੱਬੀਆਂ ਸਨ। ਦਰਅਸਲ ਇਹ ਜਲ ਸੈਨਾ ਦਾ ਸਭ ਤੋਂ ਸ਼ਕਤੀਸ਼ਾਲੀ ਬੇੜਾ ਸੀ। ਪਰ ਬਹਾਦਰ ਭਾਰਤੀ ਜਲ ਸੈਨਾ ਆਪਣੇ ਏਅਰਕ੍ਰਾਫਟ ਕੈਰੀਅਰ ਆਈਐਨਐਸ ਵਿਕਰਾਂਤ ਨਾਲ ਅਮਰੀਕਾ ਨਾਲ ਲੜਨ ਲਈ ਤਿਆਰ ਸੀ ਜੋ ਭਾਰਤੀ ਜਲ ਸੈਨਾ ਦੀ ਪੂਰਬੀ ਕਮਾਂਡ ਦੀ ਅਗਵਾਈ ਕਰ ਰਿਹਾ ਸੀ। ਆਈਐਨਐਸ ਵਿਕਰਾਂਤ ਯੂਐਸਐਸ ਐਂਟਰਪ੍ਰਾਈਜ਼ ਦਾ 1/3 ਹਿੱਸਾ ਸੀ। ਪਰ ਸੋਵੀਅਤ ਸੰਘ ਨੇ ਆਪਣੀ ਦੋਸਤੀ ਦਿਖਾਈ ਅਤੇ ਅਮਰੀਕਾ ਅਤੇ ਯੂਕੇ ਨੂੰ ਭਾਰਤ ਉੱਤੇ ਹਮਲਾ ਨਹੀਂ ਹੋਣ ਦਿੱਤਾ। 15 ਦਸੰਬਰ 1971 ਨੂੰ ਭਾਰਤੀ ਸੈਨਿਕਾਂ ਨੇ ਪਾਕਿਸਤਾਨੀ ਸੈਨਿਕਾਂ ਨੂੰ ਢਾਕਾ ਵਿੱਚ ਆਤਮ ਸਮਰਪਣ ਕਰਨ ਲਈ ਮਜਬੂਰ ਕੀਤਾ। ਇਹ ਕਿਸੇ ਦੇਸ਼ ਦੇ ਸੈਨਿਕਾਂ ਦਾ ਸਭ ਤੋਂ ਵੱਡਾ ਸਮਰਪਣ ਹੈ। ਬੰਗਲਾਦੇਸ਼ ਇੱਕ ਆਜ਼ਾਦ ਦੇਸ਼ ਬਣ ਗਿਆ।

ਇਸ ਤਰ੍ਹਾਂ ਰੂਸ ਨੇ ਭਾਰਤ ਦੀ ਮਦਦ ਬੜੇ ਔਖੇ ਸਮੇਂ ਕੀਤੀ ਤੇ ਦੁਨੀਆਂ ਸਭ ਤੋਂ ਤਾਕਤਵਰ ਦੇਸ਼ ਦੇ ਹਮਲੇ ਤੋਂ ਬਚਾਇਆ । ਅਮਰੀਕਾ ਨੇ ਤਾਂ ਪਾਕਿਸਤਾਨ ਦਾ ਪੱਖ ਪੂਰਿਆ ਤੇ ਭਾਰਤ ਨੂਂ ਹਰਾਉਣ ਦੀ ਹੀ ਸੋਚੀ। ਹੁਣ ਤੁਸੀਂ ਦਸੋ ਕਿ ਭਾਰਤ ਅਮਰੀਕਾ ਦਾ ਪਪੂਰੇ ਕਿ ਅਮਰੀਕਾ ਦਾ ਝੂਠੇ ਪ੍ਰਚਾਰ ਰਾਹੀਂ ਸਾਰੀ ਦੁਨੀਆਂ ਨੂੰ ਰੂਸ ਦੇ ਵਿਰੁਧ ਤਾਂ ਕੀਤਾ ਹੀ ਹੋਇਆ ਹੈ ਪਰ ਨਾਲ ਹੀ ਯੂਕਰੇਨ ਨੂੰ ਲਗਾਤਾਰ ਹਲਾਸ਼ੇਰੀ ਦੇ ਕੇ ਤੇ ਹਥਿਆਰਾਂ ਦੀ ਸਪਲਾਈ ਕਰਕੇ ਜੰਗ ਹੋਰ ਭੜਕਾਉਣ ਭਾਵ ਬਲਦੀ ਤੇ ਤੇਲ ਪਾਉਣ ਦਾ ਕੰਮ ਕਰ ਰਹੇ ਹਨ ਅਸਲ ਵਿੱਚ ਇਹ ਸੋਵੀਅਤ ਰੂਸ ਨਾਲ ਅਮਰੀਕਾ-ਨਾਟੋ ਦਾ ਅਣਦਿਸਦਾ (ਪਰਾਕਸੀ) ਯੁੱਧ ਚੱਲ ਰਿਹਾ ਹੈ ਜਿਸ ਵਿੱਚ ਭਾਰਤ ਅਮਰੀਕਾ ਦਾ ਪੱਖ ਕਿਵੇਂ ਲੈ ਸਕਦਾ ਹੈ ਜਿਸ ਨੇ ਅਪਣੇ ਬੇੜੇ ਰਾਹੀਂ ਬਾਰਤ ਖਿਲਾਫ ਤੇ ਪਾਕਿਸਤਾਨ ਦੇ ਪੱਖ ਵਿਚ ਖੁਲ੍ਹ ਕੇ ਹਿਸਾ ਲਿਆ ਸੀ। ਯੂਕਰੇਨ ਵੀ ਤਾਂ ਭਾਰਤ ਵਿਰੁਧ ਪਾਕਿਸਤਾਨ ਦੇ ਹੱਕ ਵਿਚ ਹੀ ਖੜ੍ਹਾ ਹੁੰਦਾ ਰਿਹਾ ਹੈ। ਅਸਲ ਗਲ ਪਛਮੀ ਮੀਡੀਆ ਲੁਕਾ ਰਿਹਾ ਹੈ ਕਿ ਯੁਕਰੇਨ ਰੂਸੀ ਭਾਸ਼ਾ ਬੋਲਦੇ ਡਾਨਬਾਸ ਦੇ ਇਲਾਕੇ ਤੇ ਲਗਾਤਾਰ ਹਿਟਲਰੀ ਫੁਰਮਾਨ ਜਾਰੀ ਕਰਦਾ ਰਿਹਾ ਤੇ iਾਨ੍ਹਾ ਇਲਾਕਿਆ ਉਪ ਫੌਜਾਂ ਰਾਹੀ ਉਸਟ ਤਰ੍ਹਾਂ ਜ਼ੁਲਮ ਕਰਦਾ ਆ ਰਿਹਾ ਹਠ ਜਿਸ ਤਰ੍ਹਾਂ ਯਹੂਦੀਆਂ ਤੇ ਜਰਮਨਾਂ ਨੇ ਕੀਤੇ ਸਨ। ਇਹ ਵੀ ਜ਼ਾਹਿਰ ਨਹੀਂ ਕੀਤਾ ਜਾ ਰਿਹਾ ਕਿ ਯੁਕਰੇਨ ਨੇ ਇੱਕ ਸੰਧੀ ਰਾਹੀਂ ਇਹ ਮੰਨਿਆ ਹੋਇਆ ਹੈ ਕਿ ਉਹ ਡਾਨਬਾਸ ਦੇ ਇਲਾਕੇ ਨੂੰ ਆਜ਼ਾਦ ਮੰਨੇਗਾ ਪਰ ਇਸ ਦੇ ਉਲਟ ਯੁਕਰੇਨ ਉਨ੍ਹਾਂ ਨੂੰ ਦਬਾਉਣ ਲਈ ਲਗਾਤਾਰ ਜ਼ੁਲਮ ਕਰਦਾ ਆ ਰਿਹਾ ਹੈ ਤੇ ਕੀਤੇ ਹੋਏ ਵਾਅਦਿਆ ਤੋਂ ਮੁਕਰਦਾ ਹੈ ਤੇ ਰੂਸ ਦੇ ਖਿਲਾਫ ਨਾਟੋ ਦਾ ਮੈਂਬਰ ਬਣ ਕੇ ਰੂਸ ਦਾ ਪੱਛਮੀ ਬਾਹੀ ਖਤਰੇ ਵਿੱਚ ਪਾ ਰਿਹਾ ਹੈ।ਇਸੇ ਲਈ ਭਾਰਤ ਅਮਰੀਕਾ-ਨਾਟੋ ਦੀ ਝੂਠ ਦੀ ਲੜਾਈ ਵਿੱਚ ਹਾਮੀ ਨਹੀਂ ਭਰਦਾ ਤੇ ਰੂਸ ਨਾਲ ਸਬੰਧ ਬਣਾ ਕੇ ਰੱਖ ਰਿਹਾ ਹੈ।
 
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Dalvinder Singh Grewal

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Jan 3, 2010
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ਰੂਸ, ਰੱਖਿਆ ਅਤੇ ਫੌਜੀ ਖੇਤਰ ਵਿੱਚ ਇੱਕ ਮਹਾਂਸ਼ਕਤੀ ਹੋਣ ਦੇ ਨਾਤੇ, 2 ਮਹੀਨਿਆਂ ਦੀ ਲੜਾਈ ਤੋਂ ਬਾਅਦ ਵੀ ਯੂਕਰੇਨ ਨੂੰ ਜਿੱਤਣ ਵਿੱਚ ਅਸਫਲ ਕਿਉਂ ਹੈ? ਇਸ ਦੇ ਜਵਾਬ ਵਿੱਚ ਮੈਂ ਇਹੋ ਆਖਾਂਗਾ ਕਿ ਇਹ ਦੋ ਦੇਸ਼ਾਂ ਵਿੱਚ ਬਰਾਬਰ ਦਾ ਯੁੱਧ ਨਹੀਂ ਹੈ। ਰੂਸ ਯੁਕਰੇਨ ਤੋਂ ਬਿਨਾ ਯੂਰਪੀ ਸੰਘ ਅਤੇ ਨਾਟੋ ਦੇ ਸਾਰੇ ਮੈਂਬਰਾਂ ਨਾਲ ਲੜ ਰਿਹਾ ਹੈ।

ਰੂਸ ਯੁਕਰੇਨ ਤੋਂ ਕਾਫੀ ਤਾਕਤਵਰ ਹੈ ਪਰ ਉਹ ਯੁਕਰੇਨ ਨਾਲ ਹੀ ਨਹੀਂ ਯੂਰਪੀ ਸੰਘ ਅਤੇ ਨਾਟੋ ਦੇ ਸਾਰੇ ਮੈਂਬਰਾਂ ਨਾਲ ਲੜ ਰਿਹਾ ਹੈ। ਯੂਕਰੇਨ ਸਿਰਫ ਇੱਕ ਪ੍ਰੌਕਸੀ ਹੈ। ਯੂਕਰੇਨ ਨੂੰ ਹਥਿਆਰਾਂ ਅਤੇ ਗੋਲਾ-ਬਾਰੂਦ ਮੁਹਈਆ ਕਰਵਾਉਣ ਵਾਲਾ ਸਭ ਤੋਂ ਵੱਡਾ ਦੇਸ਼ ਅਮਰੀਕਾ ਹੈ ਅਤੇ ਉਸ ਤੋਂ ਬਾਅਦ ਇੰਗਲੈਂਡ ਤੇ ਪੋਲੈਂਡ ।

ਪੱਛਮੀ ਦੇਸ਼ਾਂ ਨੇ ਰੂਸ ਨੂੰ ਆਰਥਿਕ ਤੌਰ 'ਤੇ ਕਮਜ਼ੋਰ ਕਰਨ ਲਈ ਆਰਥਿਕ ਪਾਬੰਦੀਆਂ ਲਾ ਦਿਤੀਆਂ ਹਨ ਜੰਗ ਨੂੰ ਜਾਰੀ ਰੱਖਣ ਲਈ ਆਰਥਿਕ ਤਾਕਤ ਦੀ ਲੋੜ ਹੁੰਦੀ ਹੈ। ਇਸ ਤੋਂ ਬਿਨਾਂ, ਦੁਸ਼ਮਣਾਂ ਦੀ ਯੁੱਧ ਨੂੰ ਕਾਇਮ ਰੱਖਣ ਦੀ ਸਮਰੱਥਾ ਖਤਮ ਹੋ ਜਾਂਦੀ ਹੈ ।

ਪ੍ਰਚਾਰ ਯੁੱਧ ਦੁਸ਼ਮਣ ਦੀ ਲੜਨ ਦੀ ਇੱਛਾ ਨੂੰ ਕਮਜ਼ੋਰ ਕਰਦਾ ਹੈ। ਸਾਰੀ ਮੀਡੀਆ ਬਿਗ ਟੈਕ ਪੱਛਮ ਨਾਲ ਸਬੰਧਤ ਹੈ। ਰੂਸ ਦੇ ਸਾਰੇ ਸਰਕਾਰੀ ਨਿਊਜ਼ ਮੀਡੀਆ 'ਤੇ ਪਾਬੰਦੀ ਲਗਾ ਦਿੱਤੀ ਗਈ ਹੈ। ਇਸ ਲਈ ਇਕ ਪਾਸੜ ਬਿਰਤਾਂਤ ਸਾਹਮਣੇ ਆ ਰਿਹਾ ਹੈ, ਤੇ ਉਹ ਹੈ ਪੱਛਮ ਦਾ ਬਿਰਤਾਂਤ। ਖਾਸ ਕਰਕੇ ਅਮਰੀਕਾ ਅਤੇ ਨਾਟੋ ਦੇਸ਼ ਰੂਸ ਵਿਰੁਧ ਅਤੇ ਯੁਕਰੇਨ ਦੇ ਹੱਕ ਵਿੱਚ ਅਫਵਾਹਾਂ ਅਤੇ ਝੂਠ ਆਧਾਰਿਤ ਲਗਾਤਾਰ ਪ੍ਰਚਾਰ ਕਰ ਰਹੇ ਹਨ।ਰੂਸ ਦੀ ਆਵਾਜ਼ ਬਾਹਰੀ ਦੇਸ਼ਾਂ ਤਕ ਨਹੀਂ ਪਹੁੰਚਦੀ ਕਿਉਂਕਿ ਸਾਰਾ ਵੱਡਾ ਮੀਡੀਆ ਅਮਰੀਕਾ ਅਤੇ ਯੂਰਪੀ ਦੇਸ਼ਾਂ ਨੇ ਅਪਣੇ ਕਬਜ਼ੇ ਵਿੱਚ ਲੈ ਰੱਖਿਆ ਹੈ ਤੇ ਉਹ ਸਿਰਫ ਇੱਕ ਪਾਸੜ ਖਬਰਾਂ ਹੀ ਨਹੀਂ ਬਲਕਿ ਬਲਦੀ ਤੇ ਤੇਲ ਪਾਉਣ ਦਾ ਕੰਮ ਕਰ ਰਹੇ ਹਨ।ਇਸ ਤੋਂ ਬਾਅਦ ਅਮਰੀਕਾ ਦੀ ਅਗਵਾਈ ਵਾਲੇ ਪੱਛਮ ਦੀ ਨੀਅਤ ਨੂੰ ਲੈ ਕੇ ਲੋਕਾਂ ਦੇ ਮਨਾਂ ਵਿੱਚ ਕੋਈ ਹੋਰ ਸ਼ੰਕਾ ਨਹੀਂ ਰਹਿ ਜਾਣੀ ਚਾਹੀ ਦੀ । ਰੂਸ ਨੂੰ ਨੀਵਾਂ ਦਿਖਾਉਣ ਲਈ ਅਮਰੀਕਾ ਹਰ ਹਥੱਕੰਡੇ ਵਰਤ ਰਿਹਾ ਹੈ ਤੇ ਯੁਕਰਰੇਨ ਵਿੱਚ ਜ਼ੈਲਿੰਸਕੀ ਅਮਰੀਕਾ-ਯੂਰਪ ਦਾ ਚੱਕਿਆ ਚਕਾਇਆ ਅਪਣੇ ਦੇਸ਼ ਨੂ ਤਬਾਹ ਕਰੀ ਜਾ ਰਿਹਾ ਹੈ ਹੈ ਤੇ ਗੱਲਬਾਤ ਲਈ ਤਾਂ ਉਸਦੀ ਕੋਈ ਮਨਸ਼ਾ ਨਹੀਂ ਲਗਦੀ। ਇਸ ਲਈ ਰੂਸ ਨੂੰ ਇਸ ਦੂਹਰੀ ਕੁੜਿਕੀ ਵਿੱਚੋਂ ਨਿਕਲਣ ਲਈ ਕੋਈ ਰਾਹ ਨਹੀਂ ਲੱਭ ਰਿਹਾ। ਫਸਿਆ ਹੋਇਆ ਰੂਸ ਤੰਗ ਆ ਕੇ ਨਿਊਕਲੀਅਰ ਜੰਗ ਨਾ ਛੇੜ ਬੈਠੇ ਇਹੋ ਵੱਡਾ ਖਤਰਾ ਲਗਦਾ ਹੈ।
 

Dalvinder Singh Grewal

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Many military analysts predict that Russia will eventually defeat Ukraine not because of the competency of its armed forces but because of Russia's overwhelming numbers. If that is so, why is NATO prolonging the inevitable?
That’s rather shortsighted. If military actions were always defined by simple numbers, then most of military history would cease to exist.
And if numbers really mattered we wouldn’t even be talking about this now. Russia would have already won. Russia had more tanks, IFvs, helicopters, artillery, and aircraft at the start of the war. They should have won within a week. After nearly three months, they still haven’t won. So right there, we can already toss the whole “numbers” theory out on its ear.
If the outcome of battles were always defined by who has the most “numbers,” then…
  • The Spartans would have lost the Battle of Thermopylae within hours…they held on for days.
  • During WW2, the isle of Malta would have fallen within days under Luftwaffe bombardment…it never fell.
  • The light carriers of Taffy 3, attacked by Kurita and his fleet battleships (including the super battleship, Yamato), would have been utterly destroyed in hours…Kurita’s Center Force were turned away, by little destroyers and unarmored light carriers.
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  • The 100 Texans at the Alamo should have fallen to Santa Ana’s 1,500 in hours…it took 13 days.
  • In 1939, Finland should have been overrun by the Soviets in a few days…5 years later, Finland lost “some territory” (about 11%).
  • The Americans would have lost at Midway…they won.
  • Thousands of books have been written about these and hundreds of more examples.
Warfare is not all about simple numbers. It’s about tactics, maneuver, understanding an enemy’s capabilities, use of terrain, concentration of force, intelligence, deception, morale, and hundreds of more details. An analyst who looks at who has more troops and pronounces that the side with more is the winner, hasn’t studied military history.
 

Dalvinder Singh Grewal

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Putin's long jam in war due to unexpected resistance by Zelenski forces
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Putin obviously thought his overwhelming force would overawe the Ukrainians and force Zelensky to flee the country. He greatly overestimated the power of his own forces, and underestimated the effects of widespread corruption in Russia. He underestimated Ukraine’s resolve to defend their independence. Russian losses in casualties and destruction of vehicles is clearly much higher than anyone in Putin’s circle predicted. Putin proves his regret by purging generals and secret police and intelligence officers.

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Ukraine recently sank the largest warship in the Russian Black Sea Fleet, a ship longer than two American football fields. Turkey closed Russian access to or departure from the Black Sea. This naval blockage has been a thorn in Russia’s side for centuries.

We hear of Neptune, Harpoon, Javelin, OTR-21 Tochka-U, Grad multiple rocket launchers, 300-mm Vilkha, Bayraktar TB2 drones, Starstreak anti-aircraft missiles, NLAWs, Stingers, Switchblade drones, and other weapons used against the Russians. Putin now knows what these missiles can do, and it was not what he expected. Putin thought the war would be over by the time the West was able to bolster Ukraine with more modern missiles.

Putin’s War is killing the Russian economy and harming the Russian people. Russia will lose the war both militarily and economically.

What Putin says cannot be relied upon in any way. Russia promised to respect Ukraine’s borders and sovereignty in return for Ukraine giving up its nukes.

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HMS Richmond is portrayed above only for purposes of illustrating a ship firing a missile.
 

Dalvinder Singh Grewal

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Jan 3, 2010
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If there is one thing the utter failure of an invasion Russia has launched back in February has proven, it’s that no man is untouchable. Just yesterday, a Russian general was killed alongside two hundred of his men by a Ukrainian strike. Since the beginning of the war, Russia has lost 9 generals and 36 colonels. An astonising rate of casualties among Russia’s top brass.

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The actual Commander in Chief of the whole operation, General Valeri Gerasimov, had only just left the scene of the attack, narrowly escaping death. This is literally one of Putin’s right-hand men we’re talking about. This is HUGE. Yes, he survived, but chances are another attempt will be successful.
 

Dalvinder Singh Grewal

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Jan 3, 2010
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Will Zelensky ever surrender?

It is for sure that Zelensky will not surrender even though Putin has been insistent that Zelensky to come to table talk. Simply because surrendering to Russia is not a part of his present role. Rather it goes against his very objective of bleeding Russia as much as possible by prolonging the war, irrespective to the cost born by the people of Ukraine.

So far in his entire life, Zelensky has played three roles which are interlinked with each other.

Role as a Comedian:

Zelensky, 41 started his career as a comedian. His TV show ‘Servants of People’ made him a comedian of national fame. The TV serial was aired and supported by a Pro-US Oligarch of Ukraine Ihor Kolomoisky, also a Jew. Kolomoisky is Zelensky’s political Guru and was instrumental in bringing Zelensky to politics of Ukraine in 2018. While Zelensky wanted name fame and power, Kolomoisky wanted a disciple as the ruler of Ukraine.

Role as President of Ukraine:

Supported by Kolomoisky, Zelesnky became the president of Ukraine in 2019. It was facilitated both by his popularity as a Comedian as well as his promise for a clean governance in the corruption ridden politics of Ukraine. Zelensky followed a bold anti-Russian policy under the influence of both Kolomoisky and the US administration. He amended the constitution of Ukraine in 2019 and provided NATO membership a constitutional mission of Ukraine. In 2020, he eliminated all pro-Russian political groups and TV groups from Ukraine and the next year issued a decree to take back Crimea from Russia. These development set the background for Russian mobilization of forces along Ukraine border in October, 2021. He also started a bloody military campaign against Russian ethnicity East Ukrainians who wanted to be independent of Ukraine though in an agreement this area was agreed to be free from Ukraine.

Role as a Tool of US strategic interests in Eastern Europe:

With the launch of Russian invasion on 24 Feb 2022, Zelensky third role as a tool of US interests in the region has become much pronounced. He is fighting Biden’s war against Russia. Biden wants Russia to bleed more and more and become a weak player in international politics. If Russia is weak, the US can handle China comfortably.

Zelensky’s third role has overshadowed his past two roles. Biden and Zelensky now share a common objective of prolonging the war and isolating Russia at the global stage. Both of them are least worried about the end of the war or to prevent the destruction of Ukraine and its people. This is not without reason that Zelensky has always been shifting on negotiations with Russia. He has always demanded more weapons from NATO and the US to confront Russia.

Zelensky’s zeal to punish and confront Russia can be justified only on one ground that Russia has invaded Ukraine and Zelensky is defending his country. But Zeelnsky has been moving against all other important considerations: protection of lives and property of people of Ukrainian people, plight of refugees, preventing destruction of Ukraine’s vital infrastructure or possibility of permanent tensions with his larger and powerful neighbour Russia. These other considerations are also part of Ukraine’s vital national interests, but Zelensky does not care for them as this third role as a tool of US strategy does not allow him to do so. That is why Zelensky will never consider surrender to Russia.

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Image Courtesy: Republic World
 

Dalvinder Singh Grewal

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Jan 3, 2010
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Will the Russian-Ukraine War escalate to NATO?
Vladimir Putin will do everything possible to avoid a direct war with NATO.

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Russia may be the world's leading nuclear power, but it is not going to win a war against NATO. Such a war would be disastrous for humanity, but there is no doubt that Putin's Russia would be crushed in the end.

Putin knows this, and he will not go that way.

Putin will go as far as possible without ever crossing the red line that would bring America and NATO directly into a war with Russia. It is the same thing in the other direction. America and NATO will go as far as possible in supporting Ukraine without crossing the red line that would make them enter the conflict directly against Russia.

America is conducting a kind of proxy war against Russia by helping Ukraine. This is an idea that is more and more present in America where many people think that it would be convenient to weaken Putin and Russia durably through this war.

All this without sending American soldiers to the front.

Not sure that trying to humiliate Putin is the best option. The Europeans know this, and that is why Emmanuel Macron recently recalled that it would be crazy to try to humiliate Putin. We must negotiate a peace that respects Russia no matter what. This is the best way to have lasting peace in Europe, even if this is still far away, as it is difficult to see a peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine is possible today.
 

Dalvinder Singh Grewal

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Jan 3, 2010
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Russian-Ukraine war is based on war machine and there has been destruction of weapons as well as dwellings through these war machines. Some Photographs share this
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IMAGE: Ukrainian soldiers fire a rocket launcher near the town of Bakhmut, Donetsk region.
Photograph: Gleb Garanich/Reuters

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IMAGE: Ukrainian soldiers work with a rocket launcher near Bakhmut.
Photograph: Gleb Garanich/Reuters

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IMAGE: A Ukrainian military vehicle near Bakhmut.
Photograph: Gleb Garanich/Reuters


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IMAGE: Shells are seen around a tank at an Ukrainian position in the Donetsk region.
Photograph: Stringer/Reuters


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IMAGE: A Ukrainian soldier loads a shell onto a tank in the Donetsk region.
Photograph: Reuters


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IMAGE: A resident looks at grass set on fire by Russian shelling near Bakhmut.
Photograph: Gleb Garanich/Reuters


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IMAGE: Mechanics repair a tank at a workshop in the Mykolaiv region.
Photograph: Edgar Su/Reuters


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IMAGE: An armorer rebuilds a machine gun in the Mykolaiv region.
Photograph: Edgar Su/Reuters


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IMAGE: Destroyed Russian tanks and vehicles are seen in a field in the Mykolaiv region.
Photograph: Edgar Su/Reuters


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IMAGE: A view of the damaged Nika-Tera grain terminal in Mykolaiv.
Photograph: Edgar Su/Reuters


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IMAGE: Drawings and letters sent by children of Ukrainian soldiers serving in the trenches are pictured in the mess area of a trench in the Mykolaiv region.
Photograph: Edgar Su/Reuters


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IMAGE: A man writes 'The last day of Russia' on a banner during a demonstration.
 

Dalvinder Singh Grewal

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https://www.quora.com/profile/Sylvain-Saurel
https://www.quora.com/Putin-makes-t...the-two-separatist-areas-in-the-Donbas-region
Vladimir Putin is now demanding the same things he was demanding before the war in Ukraine, except that he seems to have withdrawn one last demand: the departure from NATO of Eastern European countries such as Poland, Romania, ...
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Putin will never be successful with this kind of demand. And even less so now, when he has just shown that Russia was indeed the threat that all Eastern European countries imagined.
Putin has made a major strategic mistake with this war: he has strengthened NATO more than ever. NATO will continue to prepare for the worst along the eastern border of its member countries.
Military forces will be deployed in Poland, Romania, Slovakia, ... All to prepare for the worst. Because once Putin has had Ukraine, what will prevent him from trying his luck in Poland, in Romania?
Nothing!
To give in to Putin would be to show the weakness of the West from now on. We must continue to remain united against Putin by trying to bring the Russian economy to its knees so as to force him to stop this war for lack of financial means.
In this context, stopping the import of Russian gas and oil seems to be an obligation from now on. It will be a hard blow for Europe, but it is the price to pay for freedom.
Moreover, we can see that suddenly the Iranian nuclear deal is accelerating. This will bring a new major player to the oil market. Similarly, America is talking to Venezuela to ease sanctions and buy oil again.
The former pariahs are becoming frequent visitors again now that everything must be done to isolate Russia. This is geopolitics with all the hypocrisy that it entails.
 

Dalvinder Singh Grewal

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Jan 3, 2010
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Vladimir Putin wanted to wage a blitzkrieg in Ukraine and take control of the country in less than a month. He obviously overestimated the Russian army and underestimated the Ukrainian army as well as the will of the Ukrainians to defend their identity and territory. However, without Western help, the Ukrainians would not have been able to put up such a resistance to the Russians. Putin knows that Western assistance makes it difficult for the Russian army to hold out after more than 100 days of the war.
Putin sees that America is supplying more and more powerful weapons to the Ukrainian army.

Putin is struggling to make real progress on this offensive. Russia is now resorting to it’s usual tactic Raze everything with artillery before moving infantry. Some of the weapons about to be shipped, will allow for Ukraine to target Russian artillery and disrupt their MO. So Russia is trying by all available means to keep Ukraine as defenseless as possible.
Russian artillery attacks on 03/06/2022
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Dalvinder Singh Grewal

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Jan 3, 2010
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Russia has been trying to take complete control of Donbas Region in Eastern Ukraine. Severodonetsk was the last city which when taken would have decided the fate of Russia-Ukraine war. So far Russia has not been able to establish the final foothold to declare independence of Donbas Region due to this and to declare end of the war.
Ukrainian armed forces kept the spearhead of Russian forces engaged in the eastern city of Severodonetsk while launching successful counterattacks in the north and south during the 15th week of the war. The southern counteroffensive began on May 28 and by June 2, Kherson Oblast military administration head Hennadiy Lahuta reported that Ukrainian forces had liberated 20 villages.
In some areas, Ukrainian forces had managed to push the Russian lines of defense back about 25km (15 miles). For example, whereas the Russians were almost on the outskirts of Mykolaiv, they are now reportedly halfway between Mykolaiv and the city of Kherson. Increased Russian attacks have failed to win these areas back.
Ukraine’s navy also said on Facebook that its use of anti-ship missiles has forced Russian ships to a distance of 100km (62 miles) from land and prompted Russia to place Bal and Bastion anti-ship missile batteries on Crimea.
Ukraine says it has sunk 13 Russian ships and boats of various types. “We have deprived the Russian Black Sea Fleet of complete control over the northwest part of the Black Sea, which has turned into the ‘grey zone’,” the navy announced on Facebook.
Russian military sources on June 5 reported that Ukraine had launched a new counteroffensive in the northern Kharkiv region. This is where Ukraine successfully pushed Russian forces back to within a few kilometres of the Russian border in May and secured the city of Kharkiv.
The heart of the struggle was the city of Severodonetsk, where Ukrainian and Russian forces appear to have gone back and forth. Russian defence minister Sergey Shoigu claimed on Telegram that his forces have captured the entire residential part of the city and continue to fight for the industrial area.

This war may take much longer beyond any expectations. This has cheesed off Putin, who expected it a cake walk. The fight by Ukraine has been exemplary even when it knew that it is like a child fighting a monster. This shows the heart is stronger than the body.
 

Dalvinder Singh Grewal

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Jan 3, 2010
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Odessa is may be next target by sea.
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Russia is reportedly preparing to launch a "massive" missile attack on Ukraine from the sea.
Six Russian ships carrying cruise missiles were positioned in the Black Sea and were "most likely preparing for a massive launch of missiles on the territory of Ukraine" as of Monday, according to Ukraine 24. The Ukrainian South Operational Command said that "permanent missile ships" in the area had recently been reduced due to the Ukrainian military's "actions" being "very disturbing to the enemy," according to Ukrainian state media agency Ukrinform.
Ukrainian forces also warned that "Russian propagandists" were "increasingly spreading fake news stories about damage to airdromes and other critical, strategic and military infrastructure facilities in the region."

Petro Kuzyk, the commander of the Svoboda battalion and captain of the National Guard of Ukraine claims that fierce street battles are currently underway in Sievierodonetsk in Luhansk Oblast. Ukrainian forces have to maneuver constantly. Source: Kuzyk in a special morning broadcast of "Radio Svoboda"

Details: According to Kuzyk, the situation in Sievierodonetsk is quite tense, there are fierce street battles for literally every building. The fighting is shifting very dynamically, with the situation changing a couple of times a day.

The Ukrainian Armed Forces are in need of backup, especially in artillery. The Russian Armed Forces spare no "cannon fodder" while trying to attack.

"The enemy prevails to a certain degree in cannon artillery, the quantity of tanks, maybe, in personnel, and is actively using this advantage. They are constantly attacking, shelling, and ruining houses and our fortifications. We always have to maneuver…

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There have been counterattack attempts – some successful, others not. There is constant pressure from their side. Some divisions had to pull back a block, while other divisions, including ours, were able to hold their positions.

But all this is happening in extremely tough conditions. It’s horrifying, but reminds of the video game Counter-Strike…

Strategically, Ukraine is now waiting for back-up, especially in artillery. They attempt some incomprehensible attacks, using infantry ‘cannon fodder.

Ukrainian say: We keep destroying them, they keep on sending new reserves. According to our data, they’ve moved up more reserves… We’re literally fighting for every house, every street. One day we might move one block forward, another day they push us back a block. This keeps happening and will keep on happening. If our aim is to keep the city, then we can’t rely solely on the infantry’s stamina, we also need enough troops and resources such as tanks and artillery." According to the journalist Yurii Butusov, the Russian government is inventing achievements in Sievierodonetsk and the situation there is in fact quite complicated. Serhii Haidai, the chief of Luhansk Oblast State Administration, stated that the situation in the city is changing rapidly and is at times getting worse.
 

Dalvinder Singh Grewal

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Jan 3, 2010
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Are the sanctions by US and Europe working on Russia?
Russia has not shown any negative impact from much propagated sanctions by US and Europe and it remains determined to continue in its tirade on Ukraine. The reasons need to be explored

Russia is not afraid of Ut and Europe's financial games as it has already catered for these. If it should show some fear of sanctions, that would have been the weakness of Putin, which he never admits. If he at all admits the public then chew him up and he is torn in to shreds. He has to continuously show that he is the right person to protect the country and the people, hence he does not budge. Public also knows that in 1990s when the USSR faces bankruptcy and was torn into pieces, it was Putin wo saved them from further destruction. He raised economy and the power, making external debt as nil and creating more than half a trillion in the reserves, and current petroleum prices well above the magic which he has played well with the help of China, India and Iran to build his finances further, thereby keeping the country from any ill of poverty. The purchases by India and China from Russia have increased many fold. This way the global economy shifting away from west quite faster as some other nations too have started purchases oil from Russia.

The sanction too are not forceful and do not bite as these are toothless. Sanctions may have affected Technology transfers to the petroleum sector and defense-related industries formally. underground nothing is stopped since stealing of these technology goes on at much cheaper rates. Actually it is a gin to Russia and a loss to the west. These sanctions may start biting if West feels threatened but Putin does not cross the line to aggravate the situation.

Within Russia, Putin does not find any opposition since it has ruthlessly curbed them. In the face of war, the Russians have stood together like never before even when realizing that game of Putin is not going on as planned. Since it is national honor at stake they do not want to Show Russia divided stat, hence they are united. They have already seen the result of break of USSR under the pressure from the West and do not want it to occur again. Putin is now on firm footing while in the west the Governments are falling one after the other and the situation may come that some of the Western nations may align with Russia as well at a later stage.

More such reasons strengthen Putin to be in power and makes him face the sanctions boldly, turning west into an uncanny fear of Russia spreading into Europe later.
 

Dalvinder Singh Grewal

Writer
Historian
SPNer
Jan 3, 2010
969
412
77
India must help much needed peace between Russia and Ukraine. After some other countries tried but failed, India has the leading edge now in the reconciliation since both Ukraine and Russia have faith in India. Even though Russia may consider India pro western after it became member of Quad, yet the way it stood with Russia in resolving its economic crisis by buying oil from Russia despite of the sanctions and pressures from the west India being a neutral force which does not budge under pressure, has been well-stamped. Ukraine being far away from India does not matter any more since digital communications have broken all barriers and there is no other choice left with Ukraine. Further India's relationships with Russia are very old

Second, India's relationship with Russia has always been good. As early as the Soviet Union, Russia and India signed a series of cooperation agreements, which were effectively implemented after the establishment of Russia. At present, India is Russia's largest arms buyer. From nuclear-powered submarines to aircraft carriers to S400 missile systems, all of Russia's sophisticated equipment is fully open to India. Under the circumstance that India is sanctioning Russia on a large scale around the world this time, India not only does not have Responding to the call of the United States and the West, it has instead strengthened cooperation with Russia, and to some extent, it has also become a bridge between Russia and the West.

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Taking oil as an example, the EU has just passed the sixth round of sanctions on Russian oil, emphasizing that Russia's oil exports will be restricted by 90% by the end of the year, but Russia's oil exports have not been significantly affected because India has expanded its crude oil imports by 9 times, In addition, most of the oil was transported to the United States and Europe after being transferred to the port in India. Although the three parties are tacit, India's hub status has been demonstrated.

After West failed to come up openly against Russia and did not supply much wanted weapons to Zelensky, the faith of Ukraine is lost is not fully restored. Even other wise none of the Western Countries will be acceptable to Russia as a mediator, since they all stood with US against Russia. Even otherwise European countries headed by Germany, France, and Italy do not want to break up with Russia, and the current domestic inflationary pressure is also increasing. Under these circumstances in their mediation between Russia and Ukraine, the interests of Ukraine may be sacrificed. For example, the ceasefire proposed by Italy and Kissinger's views on the current situation at the Davos forum fully proved to Ukraine that these countries may sacrifice Ukraine's interests at any time.

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Under these circumstance, India stands as choice for both Ukraine and Russia, the opportunity India must avail since it will increase the global importance of India and also the further closer relationship between the two warring countries who are in badly need of a peace route and are eager to avoid further destruction. Ukraine has nearly lost its Donbas already and Russia is already in the financial mess and the pressure from within to stop this war.
 

Dalvinder Singh Grewal

Writer
Historian
SPNer
Jan 3, 2010
969
412
77
Oleksiy Danilov, head of Ukraine’s security council, announced that eight Russian commanders have been fired since the start of the conflict amid heavy losses on the battlefield. Putin is said to be enraged with leaders of the FSB security service for handing him intelligence suggesting that Ukraine was weak, contained many neo-Nazi groups, and would give up easily if attacked as they had in the Crimea. In addition, some in the FSB are said to have leaked information to the Ukrainians. He blames them for seeding him the advice that led to the poor decision-making in Ukraine, which led to Russia suffering much higher casualties than it expected in its attack, which has now been going on for two weeks. The delay is allowing Ukraine to be rearmed by the West. Russia is also now feeling the impact of the sanctions. ’ A British Intelligence officer said.
 

Dalvinder Singh Grewal

Writer
Historian
SPNer
Jan 3, 2010
969
412
77
In addition to loss of a sizeable number of Military equipment Ships, aircrafts and tanks, Russian loss of commanders is immense. Russia has lost over 30,000 troops in addition to 53 senior commanders including 11 Generals in the war against Ukraine. The latest loss is of colonel Sergei Postnov was reportedly killed in a combat operation earlier this week. Colonel Sergei Postnov was reportedly killed in a combat operation earlier this week. He was part of the military propaganda unit of the Russian National Guard, reporting directly to Vladimir Putin. He served with Russian troops near Kyiv, Kharkov, and most recently in the Luhansk region.
 

Dalvinder Singh Grewal

Writer
Historian
SPNer
Jan 3, 2010
969
412
77
As per an estimate Ukraine has lost 5000 each days during war. Causalities here include dead and wounded who are unable to fight. For example Ukraine lost 10,000 as dead and 40,000 injured between 24 June 2022 to 03 July 2022 a total of 50000 causalities in 10days hence 5000 causalities per day. Loss is colossal though, yet Zelestin choses to continue instead saving his men and assets.
Even Russia is losing its men and weapons at a large scale as mentioned eelier but it is a big country to sustain and carry the burden of dead and wounded.
 
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