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Iran, Israel, US war

Dalvinder Singh Grewal

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Jan 3, 2010
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10,000 sites bombed in Tehran so far, says US Central Command
Tribune News Service
New Delhi, Updated At : 12:19 AM Mar 27, 2026 IST
The US Central Command on Thursday said it has hit 10,000 locations in Iran since the beginning of the campaign on February 28.
Separately in Washington DC, the House Armed Services Committee of the US Congress was briefed on options of sending, or not sending, US ground troops into Iran. This even as the New York Times reported in its edition today that most of the 13 US bases in the West Asian region have been destroyed and are empty. Many of the 13 military bases in the region used by American troops were all but uninhabitable, it said.
Meanwhile, US President Trump has said Iran shot 100 missiles at one of the US aircraft carriers, but they were knocked down. Trump, whose five-day moratorium of hitting Iran’s energy facilities ends on Friday, warned Iran to ‘get serious’. “Iranian negotiators are very different and 'strange.' They are ‘begging’ us to make a deal, which they should be doing since they have been militarily obliterated, with zero chance of a comeback, and yet they publicly state that they are only ‘looking at our proposal’,” said Trump in a social media post. “They better get serious soon, before it is too late, because once that happens, there is no turning back, and it won’t be pretty.”
Chief of the US Central Command, Admiral Brad Cooper, said, “We hit the 10,000th Iranian target just hours ago. And if you combine what we’ve accomplished with the success of our Israeli ally, together we have struck thousands more." He said since the commencement of Operation Epic Fury, 92 percent of large ships in the Iranian navy had been eliminated.
 

Dalvinder Singh Grewal

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Jan 3, 2010
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Deputy PM highlights Islamabad’s role in backchannel diplomacy amid regional conflict
March 26, 2026 | 16:09

Ashfaq Ahmed, Managing Editor

Pakistan's Deputy Prime Minister Ishaq Dar says that US-Iran indirect talks are taking place through messages being relayed by Pakistan

Pakistan's Deputy Prime Minister Ishaq Dar says that US-Iran indirect talks are taking place through messages being relayed by Pakistan

Dubai: Pakistan is playing a central role in facilitating indirect talks between the United States and Iran, Deputy Prime Minister and Foreign Minister Ishaq Dar said on Thursday, highlighting Islamabad’s commitment to regional peace and stability.

Dar wrote on X: “There has been unnecessary speculation in the media regarding peace talks to end ongoing conflict in the Middle East. In reality, US-Iran indirect talks are taking place through messages being relayed by Pakistan. In this context, the United States has shared 15 points, being deliberated upon by Iran.”

Dar added that countries including Turkiye and Egypt are supporting the initiative, and stressed that dialogue and diplomacy remain the only path to lasting stability in the region.

Dar’s post reaffirmed Pakistan’s commitment to fostering dialogue, saying, “Pakistan remains fully committed to promoting peace and continues to make every effort to ensure stability in the region and beyond.”
 

Dalvinder Singh Grewal

Writer
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Jan 3, 2010
2,189
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81

Gulf crisis: One Indian killed, another injured in Abu Dhabi after missile debris falls​

TOI World Desk / TIMESOFINDIA.COM / Mar 26, 2026, 19:45 IST
An Indian national was among two people killed after debris from a ballistic missile intercepted by UAE air defence systems fell in Abu Dhabi on Thursday, said Abu Dhabi Media Office. Another Indian national was also injured in the incident.
Watch
Iran Missile Debris Kills Two In Abu Dhabi; 2 Others Injured, Car Damages; Shockwaves In UAE
Abu Dhabi confirms deaths and injuries
In a post on X, the Abu Dhabi Media Office said the fatalities occurred “as part of the ongoing follow-up to the previously reported incident caused by falling debris following the successful interception of a ballistic missile by air defence systems”.The statement said the incident “has resulted in the deaths of two individuals of Pakistani and Indian nationality, and in injuries ranging from serious to moderate sustained by three individuals of Emirati, Jordanian, and Indian nationality”.

Israel Iran War​

Later, the Indian embassy in the UAE expressed condolences over the incident and posted on X, "The Embassy of India expresses its deepest condolences at the tragic demise of an Indian national due to falling debris in Abu Dhabi today. The embassy is closely coordinating with the UAE authorities to render all possible support and assistance."

Debris fell on Sweihan Street after interception​

Earlier, Abu Dhabi authorities had said they responded to an incident involving falling debris on Sweihan Street after a ballistic missile was successfully intercepted by air defence systems.

The Abu Dhabi Media Office had said, “Abu Dhabi authorities have responded to an incident involving falling debris in Sweihan Street, following the successful interception of a ballistic missile by air defence systems. The incident resulted in the deaths of two unidentified individuals, three injuries, and damage to a number of cars. Further updates will be provided in due course." Emergency services were deployed immediately after the debris struck a busy stretch, damaging several vehicles and injuring people in the area.

Authorities urge public to rely on official information​

The Abu Dhabi Media Office urged people not to circulate unverified reports. “The public is advised to obtain information only from official sources and to avoid spreading rumors or unverified information,” the statement further said.

UAE air defences responding to Iranian threats​

Earlier in the day, the UAE Ministry of defence said its air defences were responding to incoming missile and drone threats from Iran. In a statement shared on X, the ministry said, “UAE air defences are currently responding to incoming missile and drone threats from Iran. MOD asserts that the sounds heard are the result of the air defense systems intercepting missiles and drones."

Wider toll rises amid continuing attacks​

The total death toll in the UAE had risen to 11 after the latest strike-related debris incident. The UAE Ministry of defence said earlier on Wednesday that since the start of the conflict, UAE air defences had intercepted 357 ballistic missiles, 15 cruise missiles, and 1,815 UAVs. 166 people had been injured till Wednesday, with casualties including several foreign nationals, among them Indians.
 

Dalvinder Singh Grewal

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Jan 3, 2010
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New Delhi: Prime Minister Narendra Modi will on Friday virtually interact with chief ministers of all non-poll-bound states to review their preparedness and response plans amid the ongoing West Asia conflict, sources said. Top Union ministers, including defence minister Rajnath Singh, home minister Amit Shah, finance minister Nirmala Sitharaman, external affairs minister S. Jaishankar, and senior government officials, including the Cabinet Secretary, foreign secretary, home secretary, petroleum secretary, and Department of Economic Affairs secretary, are expected to participate. The aim is to ensure coordinated action in the spirit of 'Team India,' the sources said.
his will be the first time the PM will hold a meeting with chief ministers on the West Asia conflict, which began on February 28 following US-Israel strikes on Iran. Tehran has since retaliated, targeting Israel and parts of the Gulf region, raising concerns over wider instability.
 

Dalvinder Singh Grewal

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Hormuz reprieve​

The closure of the Strait of Hormuz poses risks of a global energy crisis with oil prices already soaring and shortage being reported from several countries. Mar 26, 2026 3:08 PM IST
China and Russia to use the Strait of Hormuz, a key waterway in the Gulf that has taken centre stage amid the ongoing Iran-US war. AP​



Consulate General of Iran in Mumbai said in a post, “Iran FM Abbas Araghchi: We permitted passage through the Strait of Hormuz for friendly nations including China, Russia, India, Iraq, and Pakistan.”

The closure of the Strait of Hormuz by Iran threatens to create a global energy crisis with oil prices already soaring and shortage being reported from several countries. As Strait of Hormuz turns out to be a point of contention between the US and Iran, it also found mention in Tehran's demands to end the hostilities. The demands were posed by Iran in response to US President Donald Trump's 15-point peace plan.


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https://www.hindustantimes.com/tren...s-crossed-900-crore-mark-101774407341928.html
Among several demands, Tehran also wants international recognition and guarantees of Iran's rights to exercise its sovereignty over the Strait of Hormuz. Earlier, Trump had claimed that he and ‘Ayatollah’ would control the Strait of Hormuz together, a claim snubbed by Iran.

Govt says Indian vessels safe amid raging war​

The Ministry of Shipping on Tuesday assured that all Indian ships and sailors in the Gulf region are safe amid global concerns over energy supply disruptions.
Speaking at a joint inter-ministerial briefing in the national capital, Special Secretary in the Ministry of Shipping, Rajesh Sinha, said two Indian-flagged LPG carriers, Pine Gas and Jag Vasant, have already safely crossed the Strait of Hormuz and are en-route to India.


Natural-colour image acquired with MODIS on NASA�s Terra satellite taken on February 5, 2025 shows the Gulf of Oman and the Makran region (C) in southern Iran and southwestern Pakistan, and the Strait of Hormuz (L) and the northern coast of Oman (bottom). (AFP)
The natural-color image acquired with MODIS on NASA�s Terra satellite taken on February 5, 2025 shows the Gulf of Oman and the Makran region (C) in southern Iran and southwestern Pakistan, and the Strait of Hormuz (L) and the northern coast of Oman (bottom). (AFP)
"All Indian ships and sailors in the Gulf region are safe. No maritime incidents have been reported in the last 24 hours. Late last evening, two Indian-flagged LPG carriers, Pine Gas and Jag Vasant, were both loaded with LPG. Both vessels safely crossed the Strait of Hormuz and are headed towards India," said Sinha.

Calls to open Strait of Hormuz​

World bodies, including the United Nations, have been calling for opening Hormuz as fuel prices are surging globally. Antonio Guterres, secretary-general of the UN, said that the prolonged closure of the Strait of Hormuz is choking the movement of oil, gas, & fertilizer at a ‘critical moment in the global planting season.'
“Across the region & beyond, civilians are enduring serious harm & living under profound insecurity. The UN is working to minimize the consequences of the war. And the best way to minimize those consequences is clear: End the war—immediately," he said on X.
Earlier on March 25, the Iranian mission in New York said that they will allow the passage of what it called "non-hostile vessels" through the Strait of Hormuz.
The mission announced in a post on X, "Non-hostile vessels, including those belonging to or associated with other states, may—provided that they neither participate in nor support acts of aggression against Iran and fully comply with the declared safety and security regulations—benefit from safe passage through the Strait of Hormuz in coordination with the competent Iranian authorities."

The Iranian Defence Council has announced that the transit of "non-hostile vessels" through the strategic Strait of Hormuz is now strictly dependent on prior "coordination with Iranian officials."

Iran's plan to put Hormuz under toll​

Iran's parliament is reportedly working on a draft bill to charge a fee in exchange for providing security to ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz. The plan, according to the semi-official Fars news agency, is likely to be finalised next week. “We are pursuing a proposal in which Iran’s sovereignty, control, and oversight in the Strait of Hormuz are formally recognized in law, and through the collection of tolls, a source of revenue is also created for the country,” Fars cited a lawmaker as saying.
 

Dalvinder Singh Grewal

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Jan 3, 2010
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Iran rejects US proposals and puts 5 tough conditions to end conflict​

Source: ANI -
March 25, 2026 21:59 IST
Tehran has categorized the latest overture, which was delivered via a friendly regional intermediary, as a ploy to heighten tensions and has responded negatively.
25iran-crisis3.jpg

IMAGE: Israeli soldiers stand next to tanks near the Israeli side of the border with Lebanon, amid escalation between Iran-backed Hezbollah and Israel and the U.S.-Israeli conflict with Iran, in northern Israel, March 23, 2026. Photograph: Tyrone Siu/Reuters

Iran has responded negatively to an American proposal aimed at ending the ongoing conflict, insisting that any cessation of hostilities will only occur on Tehran's "own terms and timeline," a senior political-security official told state broadcaster Press TV on Wednesday.

Key Points​

  • Iran says it will end the war when it decides to do so and when its own conditions are met.
  • According to the official, Washington has been pursuing negotiations through various diplomatic channels, putting forward proposals that Tehran views as 'excessive.'
  • Iran's latest conditions are in addition to demands previously presented by Tehran during the second round of negotiations in Geneva.
Iran says it will end the war when it decides to do so and when its own conditions are met," the official told Press TV, emphasizing Tehran's resolve to continue its defense and inflict "heavy blows" on the enemy until its demands are fulfilled.

According to the official, Washington has been pursuing negotiations through various diplomatic channels, putting forward proposals that Tehran views as "excessive" and disconnected from the reality of America's failure on the battlefield.

Tehran has categorized the latest overture, which was delivered via a friendly regional intermediary, as a ploy to heighten tensions and has responded negatively.
The official outlined five specific conditions under which Iran would agree to end the war. These include:
  • A complete halt to "aggression and assassinations" by the enemy.
  • The establishment of concrete mechanisms to ensure that the war is not reimposed on the Islamic Republic.
  • Guaranteed and clearly defined payment of war damages and reparations.
  • The conclusion of the war across all fronts and for all resistance groups involved throughout the region
  • International recognition and guarantees regarding Iran's sovereign right to exercise authority over the Strait of Hormuz.
The official also told Press TV that these stipulations are in addition to demands previously presented by Tehran during the second round of negotiations in Geneva, which took place just days before the US and Israel carried out strikes on February 28.
"No negotiations will be held prior to that," the official stressed, reiterating that the continuation of Iran's defensive operations will persist until the outlined conditions are met.
"The end of the war will occur when Iran decides it should end, not when Trump envisions its conclusion," the official further told Press TV
The urgency for a resolution is underscored by the military situation, as joint operations by Israel and the US have consistently been "targeting Iran's missile systems, launch sites and other critical infrastructure" since the onset of the conflict. Despite these sustained strikes, Tehran has maintained its campaign, "launching missiles at Israel and nearby Gulf countries."
Beyond the direct military engagement, the proposal "addresses maritime routes" as the Strait of Hormuz--a vital artery for international oil exports—"remains closed," causing a global supply contraction and "pushing prices higher." In response to these pressures, Israel's Channel 12 reports that Trump's conditions include "one month of ceasefire to discuss the agreement" and a total "ending Iran's nuclear weapons capability."
The American terms further demand that Tehran stop uranium enrichment within its territory" and "ensuring the Strait of Hormuz remains open." Additionally, Iran would be required to "transfer its stockpile of highly enriched uranium to the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA)" and "dismantling major nuclear sites at Natanz, Isfahan, and Fordo," while "allowing full access to the IAEA."
Further regional stipulations in the US plan require Iran to be "withdrawing from regional proxy activities" and "ending support for allied armed groups." Strategically, the plan calls for "placing limits on the range and number of missiles" and "restricting future missile use strictly to self-defence."
In exchange for these concessions, Washington has reportedly offered a "complete lifting of sanctions on Iran" and "support for its civilian nuclear program," specifically targeting "power generation at the Bushehr plant." The offer also includes the "removal of the "snapback" sanctions mechanism."
However, Iranian military officials have met these offers with sharp rhetoric. Lt Col Ebrahim Zolfaghari, spokesperson for the Khatam Al-Anbiya Central Headquarters, stated on Wednesday that Trump appeared to be "negotiating with himself."
He further challenged the US, remarking, "The one claiming to be a global superpower would have already gotten out of this mess if it could." Don't dress up your defeat as an agreement. Your era of empty promises has come to an end."
With Iran hardening its position and placing its own demands before the US, it appears that the standoff in West Asia is far from over.
Source: ANI
Joint US-Israeli strikes and retaliatory Iranian action
 

Dalvinder Singh Grewal

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Call was between...: India on Musk joining Trump-Modi call claim​

Source: PTI March 28, 2026 19:15 IST
India has officially refuted claims that Elon Musk was involved in a recent phone call between Prime Minister Narendra Modi and President Donald Trump.

19musk-1.jpg

IMAGE: Prime Minister Narendra Modi with Tesla CEO Elon Musk. Photograph: @narendramodi/X

Key Points​

  • The Ministry of External Affairs denies Elon Musk participated in a phone call between PM Modi and President Trump regarding the situation in West Asia.
  • A New York Times report claimed Musk joined the call, citing unnamed US officials, leading to speculation about his involvement in diplomatic discussions.
  • The White House acknowledged a 'productive conversation' between Trump and Modi but did not confirm or deny Musk's presence.
  • Reports suggest Musk's inclusion indicates improved relations with President Trump after a previous falling out.
India on Saturday rejected a media report that said billionaire Elon Musk joined a phone conversation between Prime Minister Narendra Modi and US President Donald Trump earlier this week.
External Affairs Ministry spokesperson Randhir Jaiswal said Tuesday's conversation was between the two leaders only.
The New York Times, quoting unnamed US officials, reported that Musk participated in the call between Trump and Modi, adding it was an "unusual appearance" by a private citizen on a call between two heads of state.
"We have seen the story. The telephone conversation on March 24 was between Prime Minister Narendra Modi and President Donald Trump only," Jaiswal said.
"As has been stated earlier, it provided the opportunity for exchange of views on the situation in West Asia," he said.

In its report, The New York Times said it is "unclear" why Musk was on the call or whether he spoke.​

Our prime minister only spoke to Trump, and there was no one else who spoke to the PM, people familiar with the matter said.
They suggested that it is for Washington to clarify if somebody else was in the room or listening to the conversation.
The New York Times said Musk's participation in the phone call signalled a reconciliation between the billionaire and Trump.

"President Trump has a great relationship with Prime Minister Modi, and this was a productive conversation," said White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt said in a statement to PTI.​

The two had fallen out last year following Musk's exit from a government task force charged with slashing the federal workforce.
The US president had initiated the phone call with Modi to discuss the West Asia crisis.
It was the first conversation between the two leaders since the West Asia conflict began on February 28.
In the conversation, Modi underlined the importance of ensuring that the Strait of Hormuz remains open, secure and accessible, noting that it is vital for global peace, stability and economic well-being.
 

Dalvinder Singh Grewal

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Gulf War: Will Trump Strike A Deal With Iran?​

Ambassador M K BHADRAKUMAR
March 28, 2026, 12:50 IST
Saudi Arabia and the UAE are actively pushing Trump to take the war to its bitter finish and 'erase' Iran's presence in the geopolitics of the region.
Simply put, the two most powerful Sunni Arab oligarchies are on the same page as Israel.
Such interference increases the risk of a breakdown in dialogue between the US and Iran, points out Ambassador M K Bhadrakumar.

US Israel Iran War

IMAGE: A drone view shows damage in a residential neighborhood following a night of Iranian missile strikes, which injured dozens of Israelis in Dimona, southern Israel, on March 22, 2026. Photograph: Roei Kastro/Reuters

Key Points

  • Iran's missile strikes on the Dimona nuclear site signal strategic escalation, shifting momentum and forcing the US to reassess war objectives.
  • Donald Trump is exploring a partial deal strategy to claim victory while avoiding prolonged conflict amid domestic and geopolitical pressures.
  • Vice President J.D. Vance emerges as key negotiator, leveraging skepticism
  • of war and potential pragmatism within Iranian leadership circles.

The profound significance of the two successive Iranian missile strikes on the Dimona nuclear research centre, the most heavily guarded site in the whole of Israel, is sinking in, and it inevitably shifts the trajectory of the US' war in Iran.
Hardly four days after the first Iranian strike on Dimona in the evening of March 21, US President Donald Trump is seeking to end the month-old conflict via an ingenious pathway of a partial 'deal' that would allow the US to claim its goals have been achieved.
If there is anyone in the Trump administration who can secure for the president such a deal, it is only Vice President J.D. Vance, who is known to be a skeptic of the war and is a stakeholder himself who fervently hopes that the war does not become an albatross for the presidency.
Trump's choice of Vance for the upcoming phase of negotiations is, therefore, to be noted carefully.
The Americans had initially insisted before the conflict began on an expanded agreement with goals extending beyond Iran's nuclear program—limiting Iran's missile {censored}nal, ending its support for the resistance groups, and, possibly, even achieving 'regime change' in Tehran.
But they have come to realize that all that they can show today as 'achievement' they may have compelled Iran to draw into its missile potential.
But as the attack on Dimona shows, Iran still has surprises in store.
The upcoming negotiations will run on a negotiating track unlike the previous rounds in Muscat and Geneva, since Iran is having the upper hand.
Tehran has added a range of new demands—removal of US bases in the Middle East, release of its 'frozen' financial assets in western banks, lifting of sanctions, and a security guarantee.
To be sure, Iran will seek more favorable terms than it sought in the previous rounds.
Prima facie, this lends credence to a perception that the 'hardline' factions of the regime are dominating. But that isn't necessarily the case.
Take, for instance, the Majlis speaker Mohammad Ghalibaf, a flamboyant political personality with whom Washington is reportedly preparing to negotiate (external link).
He has the reputation of a 'hardliner' but also has a track record of taking a more central role, as his long stint for well over a decade as the populist mayor of Tehran testifies.
His public remarks may emphasize resistance, national strength, and the need to confront external pressure rather than compromise, but Trump's decision to engage with him is based on the understanding that Washington can do business with him.
Donald Trump

IMAGE: US President Donald Trump in the East Room of the White House, March 26, 2026. Photograph: Evelyn Hockstein/Reuters

JD Vance Negotiation Role​

In what seemed to be a reference to Ghalibaf, Trump told CNN's Kaitlan Collins on Monday that the US was having "very strong talks" (external link) and was "dealing with the man who is most respected" in Iran... We're dealing with some people that I find to be very reasonable, very solid.'
'The people within know who they are, they're very respected, and maybe one of them will be exactly what we're looking for.'
The Wall Street Journal newspaper has since reported that the US and Israel have temporarily removed Ghalibaf from their target list for decapitation.
Suffice to say, much will depend on Vance's sagacity to draw out the realist in Ghalibaf and encourage him to negotiate in a spirit of pragmatism.
Much will depend on how the US accommodates Iran's core interests, which are first and foremost economic concessions, non-aggression guarantees, and a review of the American military presence in the region.
A 'deal' is doable.
The New York Times reported, citing unnamed officials in Tehran, that Iran has told the US that it is not interested in a temporary ceasefire but seeks a full peace agreement with guarantees against future attacks by the US and Israel.
Arguably, Trump's recent statements, effectively attempting to present the current situation as a political outcome already achieved, fit into this logic.
Interestingly, Trump declared that 'regime change' has already occurred in Iran, pointing to the emergence of new leaders with whom Washington is prepared to engage in dialogue.
He simultaneously announced a 'significant gift' from Tehran related to the oil and gas sector—hinting at economic concessions.
The Iranian side did indeed propose vistas of economic cooperation-- from joint investments in energy to the purchase of American aircraft and the participation of US businesses in the strategic sectors of Iran's economy.
On Monday, Trump discussed with Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu a deal that will be consistent with the military operation's basic objectives.
The point is the salience in the willingness of the parties to de-escalate tensions, even without a full-fledged agreement.
To this end, Trump is also attempting to establish working channels of communication with the Iranian leadership.
Donald Trump

IMAGE: An Iranian couple walks near Iranian missiles in a park in Tehran, March 26, 2026. Photograph: Majid Asgaripour/WANA (West Asia News Agency) via Reuters
While Tehran's official position continues to be that no direct negotiations with Washington are underway, contacts are going on between Vance and an unnamed Iranian parliamentarian -- per Al-Monitor, which is wired into the Israeli establishment.
Indeed, Tehran's softening rhetoric lately also suggests that certain negotiating tracks may have opened through the mediation of third countries such as Egypt, Turkey, Qatar, and Pakistan.
The big question is whether all these incipient signs are indicative of the Tehran elite's willingness for de-escalation.
The signs are hopeful. Axios reported that a meeting involving high-ranking US and Iranian officials in Islamabad is under discussion.
The energy market is a dependable weather{censored} in such times.
Oil Market

Photograph: Illustration: Dado Ruvic/Reuters

Suspicions of Insider Trading​

According to the Financial Times, shortly before Donald Trump's announcement of 'productive talks' with Iran, large oil futures trades were made on the New York Stock Exchange -- contracts worth approximately $850 million were concluded in just minutes.
And, following Trump's tweet announcing the postponement of strikes on Iranian energy infrastructure, oil prices plummeted, while stock indices surged!
This strange coincidence naturally raised suspicions of 'insider trading.'
The White House, however, insists that the administration's actions are driven solely by national interests.
Meanwhile, Saudi Arabia and the UAE are actively pushing Trump to take the war to its bitter finish and 'erase' Iran's presence in the geopolitics of the region.
Simply put, the two most powerful Sunni Arab oligarchies are on the same page as Israel.
Such interference increases the risk of a breakdown in dialogue between the US and Iran.
Ambassador M K Bhadrakumar served the Indian Foreign Service for 29 years.
 

Dalvinder Singh Grewal

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Pak to host Saudi, Turkish, Egyptian FMs for talks on Iran war​

March 28, 2026 16:15 IST
Pakistan is set to host foreign ministers from Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and Turkiye to address critical issues and de-escalate tensions in West Asia, signalling its commitment to regional peace and stability.

Iran war

IMAGE: A poster of the late leader of the Islamic Revolution, Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini; the late Supreme Leader of Iran, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei; and the current Supreme Leader, Mojtaba Khamenei, in Tehran. Photograph: Majid Asgaripour/WANA/Reuters

Key Points​

  • Pakistan is hosting foreign ministers from Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and Türkiye to discuss regional issues, including tensions in West Asia.
  • The meetings aim to de-escalate tensions and strengthen cooperation between Pakistan and these countries.
  • Pakistan's Deputy Prime Minister Ishaq Dar requested the meeting be held in Islamabad due to his prior engagements.
  • Pakistan is actively engaged with stakeholders to find a peaceful resolution to the conflict in West Asia, including relaying messages between the US and Iran.
  • Pakistan emphasises dialogue and diplomacy as the way forward to resolve the West Asia conflict.
Pakistan is set to host the foreign ministers of Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and Türkiye for discussions on a wide range of issues, including efforts to de-escalate tensions in West Asia amid the war in Iran, the Foreign Office said on Saturday.
At the invitation of Pakistan's Deputy Prime Minister and Foreign Minister Ishaq Dar, Saudi Arabia Foreign Minister Prince Faisal bin Farhan Al Saud, Türkiye Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan, and Egyptian Foreign Minister Badr Abdelatty will visit Islamabad on Sunday and Monday, the Foreign Office said.
During the visit, the foreign ministers will hold "in-depth discussions on a range of issues, including efforts to de-escalate tensions in the region," it added.
The visiting leaders will also meet Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif, the Foreign Office said.
It added that Pakistan "highly values its relations with the brotherly countries of Saudi Arabia, Turkiye, and Egypt, and the visit will provide an opportunity to further strengthen Pakistan's cooperation and coordination with these countries."
Geo News reported that the meeting was earlier scheduled to be held in Türkiye, but due to Dar's engagement, he requested the leaders to come to Islamabad.
"The meeting was scheduled to be held in Türkiye, but due to my engagement, I requested my brothers to instead meet in Islamabad tomorrow (Sunday)," Dar was quoted as saying.
The deputy prime minister said that Pakistan is working with "honesty and sincerity" to resolve ongoing disputes.
Dar said that talks with Iran are continuing, but due to the sensitive nature of the negotiations, officials are refraining from making public statements.

Pakistan attempts to broker US-Iran peace talks​

Pakistan on Thursday said that it was "actively and constructively engaged" with all stakeholders in the region and beyond to peacefully end the Iran war.
However, Foreign Office spokesperson Tahir Andrabi did not categorically confirm any chances of face-to-face talks in Islamabad over the coming weekend.
The spokesperson said that Pakistan has "remained actively and constructively engaged with relevant regional stakeholders and beyond our region, consistently advocating for immediate de-escalation, cessation of hostilities, and an irreversible path towards a peaceful resolution."
Pakistan also confirmed relaying messages between the US and Iran, saying dialogue and diplomacy were the only way forward to end the West Asia conflict.
 

Dalvinder Singh Grewal

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'Not an accident': Trump calls Hormuz 'Strait of Trump'​

Source: ANI
March 28, 2026 15:10 IST
Amidst ongoing tensions, Donald Trump's slip of the tongue, referring to the Strait of Hormuz as the 'Strait of Trump,' has sparked discussions about potential negotiations and deals with Iran.

Key Points​

  • Donald Trump jokingly referred to the Strait of Hormuz as the 'Strait of Trump' during a speech.
  • Trump claimed Iran is under pressure and 'begging' to negotiate with the US.
  • Opening the Strait of Hormuz is a key element in potential agreements with Iran, according to Trump.
  • Trump initially demanded Iran reopen the Strait of Hormuz quickly, threatening action, but extended the deadline.
  • Trump's statements come amidst ongoing discussions and shipments of oil from Iran.
United States President Donald Trump on Friday (local time) referred to the strategically important Strait of Hormuz as the "Strait of Trump", later adding that he did not make any "accidents" while making these remarks.
Speaking at the event in the Future Investment Initiative Priority Summit in Florida, Trump said, "They have to open up the Strait of Trump. I mean, Hormuz. Excuse me, I'm so sorry. Such a terrible mistake. The fake news will say, 'He accidentally said it.' Now there are no accidents with me. Not too many."

Trump Claims Iran Seeks Negotiation​

In his address, Trump also claimed that Iran was under pressure and willing to negotiate, stating that Tehran had sent multiple shipments of oil as part of ongoing discussions.
"They're begging to make a deal," he said, adding that negotiations were currently underway.
The US president further suggested that opening the Strait of Hormuz—a critical global oil transit chokepoint—would be a key element in any potential agreement.
"They're being hit so hard. Anybody would be negotiating. They are negotiating. They're begging to make a deal. They're begging to make a deal. Turned out I was right. They were negotiating, which they admitted two days later. And in order to make up for their misstatement, 'We're going to send you eight ships of oil.' And the following day, I saw on one of the networks there were eight ships of oil coming out of Iran. And then they actually said, 'We're going to add an extra two.' And they added an extra two. We had 10 ships. And then people realized we were actually negotiating. We're negotiating now. And it would be great if we could do something, but they have to open it up," the US president said.

Deadline Extension for Reopening the Strait​

Trump has demanded that Iran fully reopen the crucial waterway within days, warning that failure to do so would lead to the US "obliterating" its power plants.
However, on Thursday, he extended the deadline by 10 days, citing ongoing talks with Tehran, with the new deadline now set for April 6.
 

Dalvinder Singh Grewal

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Will blow up Kharg, desalination plants unless...: Trump Mon, 30 March 2026 17:20
US President Donald Trump shares a post on Truth Social on the when the war will end.
"The United States of America is in serious discussions with A NEW, AND MORE REASONABLE, REGIME to end our Military Operations in Iran. Great progress has been made but, if for any reason a deal is not shortly reached, which it probably will be, and if the Hormuz Strait is not immediately "Open for Business,' we will conclude our lovely "stay' in Iran by blowing up and completely obliterating all of their Electric Generating Plants, Oil Wells and Kharg Island (and possibly all desalinization plants!), which we have purposefully not yet "touched.'
"This will be in retribution for our many soldiers, and others, that Iran has butchered and killed over the old Regime's 47 year "Reign of Terror.' Thank you for your attention to this matter. President DONALD J. TRUMP."
Middle East Expert, Waiel Awwad, on Monday, asserted that the ongoing war in West Asia is benefiting rich countries like the US, citing President Donald Trump's growing assets as evidence.
Speaking with ANI, Awwad said that Trump is prolonging the war to appease his billionaire associates and fulfill Israel's agenda. "You see, the problem is that the rich countries become richer in the wars and the poor countries become poorer. So you can see most of the countries all over the world, including the United States, people in the States are demonstrating against their government, against Trump, why he went for this war," he said.
"So basically, Trump is trying to please the billionaire club that he surrounded himself with. You could see his assets, how they have been increased. You can see that he has been doing whatever the Prime Minister of Israel tells him to do. So he's not finding any way out to come out," he said.
Awwad provided a significant counter-report to Trump's claims of military dominance. While Trump spoke of "knocking out" the Iranian Navy, Awwad cited reports from Tehran claiming that US Marines and commandos attempted a ground landing on Kharg Island (Iran's vital oil hub) and were captured.
Awwad warned that with the Easter holiday approaching, there are fears of a "dirty bomb" or a "false flag" operation designed to create havoc in South Asia and warned that the conflict may escalate, citing Trump's rhetoric and troop deployments.

Indian Dies in Kuwait Attack: Impact of West Asia Conflict on Indian Nationals

Source: PTI March 30, 2026 16:53 IST

An Indian national tragically died in Kuwait after Iranian strikes hit a power and water desalination plant, highlighting the escalating dangers faced by Indian citizens amidst the ongoing conflict in West Asia.
Key Points

  • An Indian national was killed in Kuwait due to Iranian strikes on a power and water desalination plant.​
  • This incident brings the total number of Indian fatalities in the ongoing West Asia conflict to eight.​
  • The Indian Embassy in Kuwait is coordinating with Kuwaiti authorities to transport the deceased's remains.​
  • India has increased diplomatic efforts to ensure the safety and security of the 10 million Indian nationals living in West Asia.​
  • Kuwaiti officials have described the strikes on the power and water desalination plant as "brutal."​
An Indian national has been killed in Kuwait in Iranian strikes on a power and water desalination plant, taking the total number of Indian fatalities from the ongoing conflict in West Asia to eight since it began a month back.

Kuwait's Ministry of Electricity, Water and Renewable Energy said a service building at the facility was damaged in Sunday's attack, Kuwait's state-run KUNA news agency reported.
It was the fifth Indian fatality on land since the Iran-US conflict erupted on February 28.

The embassy of India in Kuwait, confirming the death, expressed its "deepest condolences" at the "tragic demise" of the Indian national.

Ambassador Paramita Trpathi visited Kuwait's central mortuary on Monday where the mortal remains of the Indian national who lost his life last evening during the attack on a desalination facility, were brought, the embassy said on social media.​

"The Embassy is in touch with the family of the deceased Indian national and is coordinating with Kuwaiti authorities for expeditious transportation of mortal remains," it said without sharing details of the deceased.
Kuwaiti officials described the strikes on the power and water desalination plant  as "brutal". However, they did not identify the plant.

Fatima Jawhar Hayat, a spokesperson at the Ministry of Electricity, Water and Renewable Energy, said the strike resulted in the death of a worker of Indian nationality.
Technical and emergency response teams were immediately deployed to the site to contain the situation and manage the aftermath in line with the ministry's laid down protocol, she added.

Hayat said specialised teams are working to secure the facility while coordinating closely with security authorities and other relevant agencies.

The ministry said that operational efficiency across the electricity and water network in the country remains intact.

Rising Casualties and Regional Impact

Last week, an Indian national was among two killed in the UAE when debris of missiles intercepted by the country's air defence system fell on a street. On March 18, another Indian national was killed in an Iranian attack on Riyadh. Two Indian nationals were killed and 10 others injured in a drone strike in Oman's Sohar city on March 13. Three Indian sailors were killed in attacks on merchant vessels earlier.
In the last couple of weeks, India has ramped up its diplomatic efforts to ensure safety and security of 10 million Indian nationals living in West Asia.

'Big day in Iran': Trump amid claims of 'regime change'

Source: ANI March 30, 2026 16:05 IST

Donald Trump claims the US military decimated Iran's Navy and Air Force, hinting at regime change while Iran accuses the US and Israel of planning a ground invasion.
Key Points

  • Donald Trump claims the US military has destroyed key targets in Iran, including the Navy and Air Force.
  • Trump hinted at regime change in Iran, stating a new group of people are acting reasonably.
  • Trump claims Iran agreed to most of a 15-point peace plan and sent boatloads of oil as a sign of respect.
  • Iran accuses the US and Israel of planning a ground invasion under the guise of diplomacy.
  • Iran's Parliament Speaker warns Tehran will not yield to pressure from the US and Israel.
Former United States President Donald Trump said it's a "big day" for Iran, stating that the US military has destroyed many key targets in the country.

In a post on Truth Social, Trump said that the US military had destroyed many sought-after targets in Iran.
He said, "Big day in Iran. Many long-sought-after targets have been taken out and destroyed by our GREAT MILITARY, the finest and most lethal in the World. God bless you all! President DJT."
Earlier in the day, when being gaggled with the press on Air Force One en route to Joint Base Andrews, Trump said that Iran's entire Navy and Air Force have been knocked out, and most of their missiles are gone.
Trump also hinted at regime change in Iran, saying the current leadership is "very reasonable" and a "new group of people".

He said, "I just have lots of alternatives. We have a tremendous number of ships over there. We don't need them all because of, you know, the power. If you had said that in three days we were going to knock out 158 ships, their entire Navy, which we did, we knocked out their entire Air Force, we knocked out most of their missiles. That's why you see missile attacks, but they're down to just sputtering. And we have a group, it's really a new regime. It's the new group of people, people that we've never dealt with before, that are acting very reasonably. It is truly regime change."
When he was asked if Iran's dead leader Khamenei's son was alive and a part of the ongoing conversation.
"We think he may be. Nobody's heard about him and he's... he may be alive, but he's obviously very seriously in trouble. Really, he's seriously wounded," Trump replied.

On being asked about the 15-point peace plan sent by the US to Iran, Trump said, "Yeah, they came back on the 15-point plan. They gave us most of the points. Why wouldn't they?"

Trump mentioned that Iran has agreed to most of the 15-point peace plan sent by the US and has even sent 20 boatloads of oil as a "sign of respect".

"Well, they're agreeing with us on the plan. I mean, we asked for 15 things, and for the most part, we're going to be asking for a couple of other things. And just to prove that they're serious, they gave us all these boats. When I talked about four days ago, a present, I said they gave me a present, but I didn't think I was at liberty to say what it was. What it was was 8 plus 2; it's 10 massive boatloads of oil. And today they gave us another present, they gave us 20 boatloads of oil. That starts being shipped tomorrow. We're having very good meetings, both directly and indirectly, and we're getting a lot of very important points," Trump further said in the gaggle.

Iran's Response to US Claims
Earlier, Iran's Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf on Sunday accused the United States and Israel of planning a "ground invasion" under the guise of diplomacy, warning that Tehran will not yield to pressure, according to Iranian state media Press TV.

As quoted by Press TV, he said, "The enemy talks of negotiations but plans a ground invasion. The US seeks in a 15-point list what it couldn't win in war. Our forces are ready, and we will never be humiliated."

Does The US Plan To Continue This War For 'One Or Two Years'?

March 30, 2026 14:59 IST

This weekend, Donald Trump has begun to say the quiet part out loud -- that he wants to take control of Iran's oil, a formulation more in line with his robber-baron style of international relations.

There comes a moment in any war when diplomacy, though invoked by rote, ceases to matter. This feels like one of those moments.
The fourth week of the war had begun with loud optimism about the prospects of mediation.
The news cycle spoke of Pakistan as both venue and facilitator; names of possible interlocutors, at least on the American side, were floated and as quickly rejected, Trump injected optimism into the markets (with little success, though)...

A week later mediation, such as it is, appears to have been given the go-by, though it is still occasionally referenced.​

The United States talks of backchannels; Iran dismisses them; and on the ground, the war proceeds with an accelerated brutality that makes both positions feel beside the point.



IMAGE: Iranian missiles streak across the sky towards Israel, captured with long exposure from Hebron in the Israeli-occupied West Bank, March 23, 2026. Photograph: Mussa Qawasma/Reuters

Israel and Iran are no longer probing each other's defences. They are hitting sensitive targets regularly, with the kind of force that suggests as far as they are concerned, the war has settled into a phase of attrition. [Guardian (external link)]

Washington, for its part, seems to be preparing for a much longer conflict than was originally envisaged (Vice President J D Vance said over the weekend that the US does not want to be in Iran 'for more than one or two years' -- years, note, not weeks).

Each day brings news of fresh troops being committed to 'limited' ground operations. [Guardian (external link)]



IMAGE: Ground crew prepare a US Air Force Boeing B-52 Stratofortress at RAF Fairford airbase in Gloucestershire, Britain, March 23, 2026. Photograph: Toby Shepheard/Reuters

US Prepares Long Iran War

Key Points

  • Iran-Israel conflict has shifted into sustained attrition, with intensified strikes and diminishing prospects for meaningful diplomacy.
  • US signals preparation for prolonged engagement, with troop movements and logistics suggesting potential expansion into extended ground operations.
  • Global oil and LNG markets face tightening supply as disruptions in Hormuz and Red Sea threaten critical trade routes.
  • Multiple conflict zones, including Ukraine strikes on Russian energy infrastructure, are compounding global energy instability.
  • Asia, especially India and developing economies, faces immediate energy stress as LNG shortages and rising prices ripple across markets.
More importantly, the stated objectives of the war are shifting in plain sight.

The 'emancipation of Iranian women' has fallen out of sight; 'regime change' merely succeeded in replacing relatively moderate leaders with hardline successors.

Opening the Strait of Hormuz was in any case risible -- the Strait was open before the war began, so all that means is a return to status quo ante. [Al Jazeera (external link)]

Houthis Expand Red Sea Conflict

This weekend, Donald Trump has begun to say the quiet part out loud -- that he wants to take control of Iran's oil, a formulation more in line with his robber-baron style of international relations.

Beyond the battlefield, the consequences are no longer abstract. Oil markets are tightening as traffic through the Strait remains sporadic.

Prices are climbing, even as key links in the supply chain are breaking.

As far as the world at large is concerned, the war is no longer a contained conflict -- it is taking on the contours of a spreading systemic shock. [Axios (external link)]

As if all this were not enough, another front is opening up.

The Houthis have stepped up on the side of Iran, extending the theatre of conflict into the Red Sea and the Bab el-Mandeb, another narrow artery through which global trade is forced to pass. [Reuters (external link); Guardian (external link)]



IMAGE: An F/A-18E Super Hornet lands on the USS Abraham Lincoln during operations linked to strikes on Iran, February 28, 2026. Photograph: US Navy/Handout via Reuters

Hormuz Disruption Hits Global Oil


Layer onto this a second front in everything but name.

In Ukraine, strikes on Russian oil infrastructure are now biting deep into production capacity, adding further strain to an already unstable energy landscape.

The effect is cumulative: Multiple conflicts across different geographies, all converging on an increasingly fragile system. [CNN (external link); Al Jazeera (external link)]

It is hard to see recent developments as the outcome of some coherent strategy.

A war prosecuted with no clearly defined outcome now appears to be making its own decisions, with each move narrowing the available options for the next one.

For Iran, the problem is how to hang on and continue inflicting damage till the US and Israel decide they have had enough.

And for the two aggressor nations, the question is no longer how to win, but how to stop and exit with a semblance of face.



IMAGE: A solar resource map of Iran illustrates the country's energy landscape and geographic spread. Photograph: Kind courtesy Solargis/wikipedia.org/Creative Commons

What the war looks like from Tehran's streets: Al Jazeera's Maziar Motamedi reports from a city that is trying to hold its shape in the midst of severe bombardment.

Armed checkpoints, Basij patrols, loudspeakers summoning residents to mosque gatherings, children as young as 12 being recruited into security patrols.

The Internet has been blacked out for a month. Nearly 2,000 killed, the government says.

And still, people walk to the gym, visit neighbours, try to find a routine inside the fear.

Such reporting lives on its details, and the one that stayed with me is this: A woman in the affluent north of Tehran who has left her home three times in a month, worried that an official in an adjacent alley might make her family collateral. [Al Jazeera (external link)]



IMAGE: A woman reacts near a residential building damaged by a strike in Tehran, March 27, 2026. Photograph: Majid Asgaripour/WANA/Reuters

The morning after that nobody planned for
: Eric Alter, dean of the Anwar Gargash Diplomatic Academy in Abu Dhabi, asks the question Washington appears to have avoided: what happens the day after?

He walks through Iraq and Libya as case studies in what fills the vacuum when military success outruns political planning.

Iran, he argues, is even harder: a civilization with two thousand years of self-governance, a technocratic class that has accommodated successive regimes, and a regional militia architecture (Hezbollah, the Houthis, the PMF in Iraq) that has grown its own roots and will not simply switch off when Tehran changes hands.

Then there is the uranium: current whereabouts uncertain.

'The question of what happens to the enriched uranium during a governance transition is not a technical detail that can be addressed later.' [The National Interest (external link)].


The escalation nobody wanted to name: Simon Tisdall in The Guardian does not pull punches.

Trump is caught between maximalist demands he cannot deliver and a ground war he cannot afford, either politically or militarily.

Iran's surviving leadership, dominated now by hardliners, believes it is winning by surviving.

Trump's 15-point peace plan amounts to a demand for total surrender; Iran's counter-demands include reparations and guaranteed sovereignty over Hormuz. Neither side is close to the other.

Tisdall's summary of the trap is blunt: 'Cave or escalate'. The piece is opinionated in the way Guardian commentary tends to be, but the structural analysis is sound. [The Guardian (external link)]

The man who saw it coming -- and was shown the door: Nate Swanson spent nearly two decades in the US government, most recently on Trump's Iran negotiating team.

Days before the February 28 strikes, he published a piece in Foreign Affairs predicting exactly what Iran would do.

He was pushed out after a tweet from Laura Loomer flagged him as an Obama holdover.

In this Politico interview, he is careful but clear: both sides are "irrationally confident," there is no off-ramp in sight, and the most likely forcing function for de-escalation is not diplomacy but markets, the one indicator Trump actually watches.

His read on what Iran wants is worth noting: a permanent toll on Hormuz, and a guarantee this doesn't happen again in six months.

Neither is something Washington can easily give. [Politico (external link)]



IMAGE: A man points at a building damaged by Israeli strikes in Beirut's southern suburbs amid escalating hostilities, March 28, 2026. Photograph: Stringer/Reuters

Ground War Signals Emerging

The logistics tell the story:
Robert Pape, writing in his Substack Escalation Trap, offers the most structurally rigorous analysis of where this is heading.

His argument: The signal of ground war is logistics.

In Vietnam, the shift from air war to ground war was visible weeks before Johnson's July 1965 announcement, in the expansion of port capacity, fuel stockpiles, and airlift cycles. The same indicators are now appearing around the Gulf.

Around 5,000 Marines are in theatre; elements of the 82nd Airborne have deployed; the Pentagon is drawing up contingency plans for sustained ground operations.

'The ground war did not begin when troops landed. It began when the system to sustain them was built.'

Watch the C-17 cycles, not the press conferences. [Escalation Trap (external link)]

A note on what Iran just demonstrated: Worth pausing on a data point that has not received the attention it deserves.

Iranian forces appear to have damaged or destroyed multiple USAF KC-135 aerial refueling tankers parked in the open at Prince Sultan Airbase in Saudi Arabia.

KC-135s are what keeps US strike aircraft aloft over Iran. Losing them degrades sortie capacity directly.

The broader point, made sharply by analyst Ron Filipkowski: Ukraine's Operation Spiderweb destroyed a significant portion of Russia's strategic aviation by targeting planes parked in the open.

Did the Pentagon look at that, and conclude it didn't apply to them?

Iran's precision missile capabilities are, by most assessments, orders of magnitude beyond Ukraine's. The question answers itself. [Twitter/X (external link)]

Track the weapons, track the war: For those who want to follow the military dimensions day by day, the Iran War Weapons & Attacks Tracker, built and maintained by Anushka Saxena and drawing on CENTCOM, ISW, and official defence ministry statements, is the most comprehensive open-source resource currently available.

It covers the battlefield timeline, weapons systems deployed by every party, maritime attacks, and the broader ecosystem of actors. [Iran War Tracker (external link)]



IMAGE: An illustrative model of an LNG tanker highlights the vulnerability of energy shipping routes amid rising tensions. Photograph: Dado Ruvic/Illustration/Reuters

Asia Faces LNG Supply Crunch

When the gas runs out
: The New York Times today carries the piece that puts the energy consequences in their starkest form.

The buffer of LNG cargoes that left the Persian Gulf before Hormuz closed is running out. The last of those ships arrive this week.

Asia, which buys roughly 90 percent of Middle Eastern LNG, is about to feel the physical impact of non-delivery.

India is ordering coal plants to run at full capacity for three months. Pakistan has closed schools to conserve fuel.

In Vietnam, factories are slowing. Taiwan, which has retired much of its coal capacity and phased out nuclear, has few options.

The richer economies such as Japan, South Korea and China, can bid on spot markets, but as one analyst notes, that comes at the direct expense of poorer countries who cannot.

The longer-term damage may be structural: 'The entire concept of LNG being a reliable fuel is undermined.'

For India, caught between two stressed chokepoints simultaneously -- Hormuz and Bab el-Mandeb -- this is a catastrophe knocking on the door. [New York Times (external link)]

In passing...

The war is a month old, and it has already outgrown every framework used to explain it: Limited strike, regime change, negotiated exit.

What remains is a conflict that is generating its own momentum and sending its costs outward in every direction.

The bill, as usual, will be paid by people who had no vote in any of it.
 

Dalvinder Singh Grewal

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19 India-bound oil, gas ships stranded in Hormuz raising supply concerns​

Source: PTI
March 31, 2026 01:42 IST
So far, eight Indian-flagged vessels have sailed out safely. These include two LPG carriers, BW TYR and BW ELM, carrying a combined LPG cargo of about 94,000 tonnes, which safely transited the war-hit zone in the last couple of days.
29strait-of-hormuz-1.jpg

IMAGE: Cargo ships in the Gulf, near the Strait of Hormuz. Photograph: Reuters

Key Points​

  • Ten foreign-flagged vessels and several Indian-flagged vessels carrying LPG, crude oil, and LNG are among those affected, causing potential disruptions to India's energy supply.
  • Indian authorities are prioritizing the safe passage of Indian-flagged vessels through the Strait of Hormuz, with eight vessels having already successfully navigated the war-hit zone.
  • The conflict has significantly impacted shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, a critical route for oil and gas exports from Gulf countries, prompting close monitoring of the situation by Indian authorities to ensure the safety of seafarers and vessel movements.
  • Despite the challenges, all Indian seafarers in the region are reported safe, and the situation has remained stable in the past 72 hours, with efforts underway to manage the impact on India's energy imports.
As many as 19 ships with LPG, crude oil and LNG meant for India are currently stranded in the Strait of Hormuz due to the escalating war in West Asia.
At an inter-ministerial briefing on the fallout of developments in West Asia, Rajesh Kumar Sinha, special secretary in the ministry of ports, shipping, and waterways, said 10 foreign-flagged vessels with energy cargo for India are currently stranded.

These include 3 vessels with LPG, four crude oil tankers, and three liquefied natural gas (LNG) carriers.
Besides these, there are Indian-flagged vessels. These include three LPG tankers, one LNG carrier, and four crude oil tankers. One empty tanker is being filled with LPG.
The vessels were among the 500-odd ships that were struck in the narrow strait amid the widening West Asia conflict.
So far, eight Indian-flagged vessels have sailed out safely. These include two LPG carriers, BW TYR and BW ELM, carrying a combined LPG cargo of about 94,000 tonnes, which safely transited the war-hit zone in the last couple of days, he said.
While BW TYR is proceeding towards Mumbai with an expected arrival on March 31, BW ELM is en route to New Mangalore with an estimated arrival date of April 1, he said.
The US and Israel's attacks on Iran and Tehran's sweeping retaliation have all but halted shipping through the strait—the narrow shipping lane that is a conduit for oil and gas exports from Gulf countries to the world. Iran, however, last week said "non-hostile vessels" may transit the waterway after coordinating with Iranian authorities.

India's Response to Shipping Disruptions​

"Our first priority is to get Indian-flagged vessels out," Sinha said. "We are yet to reach the stage where we start sending back vessels (for refills)."
He was asked whether India is considering sending vessels that have already discharged cargo at domestic ports back to Gulf countries to lift additional supplies.
He said his ministry has been closely monitoring the evolving situation in West Asia, particularly with regard to the safety of Indian seafarers, vessel movements, and port operations.
"All Indian seafarers in the region are safe, and no incident involving Indian-flagged vessels has been reported in the past 24 hours. The situation has remained stable over the last 72 hours as well," he said.

Past Vessel Transits and Current Status​

Previously, four Indian-flagged LPG tankers had safely sailed through the strait. Pine Gas and Jag Vasant, carrying 92,612 tonnes of LPG, reached Indian ports between March 26 and March 28. Prior to that, MT Shivalik and MT Nanda Devi, carrying about 92,712 tonnes of LPG, had reached Mundra Port in Gujarat on March 16 and Kandla Port on March 17, respectively.
Besides, the Indian-flagged oil tanker Jag Laadki, with 80,886 tonnes of crude oil from the UAE, reached Mundra on March 18. Another tanker, Jag Prakash, carrying gasoline from Oman to Africa, had previously safely crossed the strait and is en route to Tanzania.
There are 18 Indian-flagged vessels on the west side of the strait, with 485 seafarers, he said.
Two other vessels are stranded on the east side.
Among the vessels on the west side are LPG carriers Jag Vikram, Green Asha and Green Sanvi. One empty vessel is being filled with LPG.
Other Indian-flagged vessels in the zone include one liquefied natural gas (LNG) tanker, four crude oil tankers, one transporting chemical products, three container ships, and two bulk carriers. Additionally, one vessel is a dredger, and three were in dry dock undergoing routine maintenance.
Originally, there were 28 Indian-flagged vessels in the Strait of Hormuz when the war in West Asia broke out. Of these, 24 were on the west side of the strait and four on the east side. In the last few days, six vessels from the west side and two from the east have managed to sail to safety.
 

Dalvinder Singh Grewal

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Iran denies Trump's direct talk claims; confirms indirect US outreach​

Source: ANI
March 30, 2026 23:00 IST
Iran emphasised that Iran did not participate in a four-sided meeting in Islamabad on Saturday hosted by Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif and attended by the foreign ministers of Saudi Arabia, Turkey and Egypt.
30iran-crisis6.jpg

IMAGE: A woman stands in her home, which was damaged by a strike, as the U.S.-Israeli conflict with Iran continues, in Tehran, Iran, March 29, 2026. Photograph: Majid Asgaripour/WANA (West Asia News Agency) via Reuters
Iranian foreign ministry spokesperson Esmaeil Baghaei said that the country has held no "direct" talks with the United States as of now and added that it has received messages through some mediators regarding the US' desire for negotiations, according to a report by Press TV on Monday.

Key Points​

  • Iranian says that it is not clear how much, even inside the US, the country's claims about diplomacy and negotiations are seriously taken into account
  • The foreign ministry spokesperson emphasised that Iran did not participate in a four-sided meeting in Islamabad on Saturday hosted by Pakistan.
  • Trump has threatened to target Iran's civilian energy infrastructure, including power plants, oil wells and Kharg Island, if Tehran does not reopen the Strait of Hormuz.
As per Press TV, Baghaei said during a press conference, "It seems quite natural that when the US raises the issues of negotiations and diplomacy, sensitivities will be increased. It is not clear how much, even inside the US, the country's claims about diplomacy and negotiations are seriously taken into account. Reactions and reflections also show that the extent of global trust in the US claims in the field of diplomacy is very limited".
He slammed the US and said that Iran, while Washington's stance has been constantly changing, Tehran has had a clear stance on the negotiations.
The foreign ministry spokesperson emphasised that Iran did not participate in a four-sided meeting in Islamabad on Saturday hosted by Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif and attended by the foreign ministers of Saudi Arabia, Turkey and Egypt.
His remarks come after the Financial Times had reported that US President Donald Trump claimed that indirect negotiations between the United States and Iran, facilitated by Pakistani intermediaries, are making "positive progress".
Meanwhile, in a post on X, Iranian state media Press TV also denied the claims by Trump on talks with Iran.
The developments come as Trump has threatened to target Iran's civilian energy infrastructure, including power plants, oil wells and Kharg Island, if Tehran does not reopen the Strait of Hormuz.
In a social media post, Trump said, "Great progress has been made but, if for any reason a deal is not shortly reached, which it probably will be, and if the Hormuz Strait is not immediately 'Open for Business,' we will conclude our lovely 'stay' in Iran by blowing up and completely obliterating all of their Electric Generating Plants, Oil Wells and Kharg Island."
He noted that Washington is engaging in "serious discussions" with a "new, and more reasonable" leadership in Tehran to bring an end to US military operations, a conflict that has lasted more than a month amid escalating regional tensions.
Trump's remarks came against a backdrop of heightened global concern over the strategic Strait of Hormuz, a critical chokepoint for nearly one-fifth of world oil flows.
The president urged Iran to ensure that the waterway is "open for business," tying the resumption of maritime traffic directly to progress in talks aimed at ending hostilities.
Kharg Island serves as Iran's main oil export hub, handling the vast majority of the country's crude shipments, and even though US strikes earlier in the conflict have targeted military assets on the island, its energy infrastructure had largely been left intact until now.
As tensions escalate in the region, the Israeli Defence Forces (IDF) on Monday claimed it targeted the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps' (IRGC) key military university, Imam Hossein University, citing its role in advancing Iran's military capabilities.
 

Dalvinder Singh Grewal

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IRGC threatens to destroy offices of 18 US tech giants from Apr 1​

Source: ANI
April 01, 2026 00:57 IST
Iran's elite military force claimed these businesses have actively 'assisted US-Israeli terror operations inside Iran by providing espionage services.'

Iran's Islamic Revolution Guards Corps (IRGC) has issued a chilling ultimatum to 18 major American corporations, warning that their regional infrastructure will be targeted following allegations of their involvement in hostile operations.

Key Points​

  • The IRGC also identified critical hardware and infrastructure providers, including HP, Intel, IBM, and Cisco, alongside other global giants such as Tesla, Nvidia, Oracle, JP Morgan, and Boeing.
  • The IRGC issued a formal statement on Tuesday, declaring that these firms should prepare for retaliatory strikes.
  • The IRGC has categorised these organisations as "espionage entities associated with the warmongering government of the United States."
According to a report by Iranian state media Press TV, the elite military force claimed these businesses have actively "assisted US-Israeli terror operations inside Iran by providing espionage services."
The IRGC issued a formal statement on Tuesday, declaring that these firms should prepare for retaliatory strikes. The military body specified that the planned "reprisal attacks starting at 20:00 Iran time on April 1" would be devastating.
It warned that the companies' regional "offices in the region will be 'annihilated.'"
The extensive blacklist features some of the world's most prominent technology and industrial leaders.
Among the "big tech" firms named are Apple, Google, Meta, and Microsoft.
The IRGC also identified critical hardware and infrastructure providers, including HP, Intel, IBM, and Cisco, alongside other global giants such as Tesla, Nvidia, Oracle, JP Morgan, and Boeing.
Iranian state media Press TV noted that the IRGC has categorised these organisations as "espionage entities associated with the warmongering government of the United States."
The Guards alleged that the firms' "artificial intelligence (AI) and internet communication technology (ICT) services have been the main elements in designing terror operations and tracing assassination targets by the US and Israel inside Iran."
The escalatory rhetoric follows claims from Tehran that its previous diplomatic warnings have been ignored.
The IRGC asserted that Washington and its allies in Tel Aviv continued to conduct "terror operations" regardless of Iranian protests.
This includes a reported targeted strike earlier this Tuesday, which allegedly resulted in the deaths of several Iranian nationals.
In its Tuesday broadcast, Press TV relayed the IRGC's declaration that it has shifted its military doctrine.
"In response to this terrorist operation, henceforth, the main institutions involved in terrorist activities will be considered legitimate targets," the statement read.
The military force has issued an urgent warning for personnel to vacate any potential target sites.
"We advise employees of these institutions to immediately leave their workplaces to protect their lives. Residents within a one-kilometer radius of these terrorist companies across all countries in the region are also urged to evacuate and move to safe locations," the IRGC cautioned.
The threat comes amidst a period of intense regional instability.
Press TV reports that since late February, dozens of high-ranking Iranian political and military figures, as well as their kin, have been killed in what Tehran describes as a sustained campaign of "US-Israeli aggression."
Iran has repeatedly "vowed to avenge the assassinations by targeting elements that have been influential in the attacks," marking a significant broadening of its retaliatory scope to include private-sector entities.
 

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Russia offers fertiliser aid to Global South, East amid Hormuz concerns​


April 01, 2026 00:32 IST
Amid concerns over the Strait of Hormuz closure and its impact on global fertiliser exports, Russia has announced its readiness to supply agricultural products and fertilisers to countries in the Global South and East, aiming to bolster food security.
31hormuz-ship.jpg

IMAGE: A cargo ship in the Gulf, near the Strait of Hormuz. Photograph: Stringer/File Photo/Reuters

Key Points​

  • Closure of the Strait of Hormuz threatens global fertiliser exports and food security.
  • Rising nitrogen additive prices exacerbate challenges for countries dependent on imported resources.
  • Russia aims to coordinate with friendly nations to provide essential agricultural support.
Russia is ready to supply fertilisers and other agricultural products to countries of the Global South and East, a senior Russian official said on Tuesday.
The closure of the Strait of Hormuz due to the West Asia conflict has impacted the global economy.

At a briefing for foreign diplomats here, Deputy Secretary of the Russian Security Council Alexander Venediktov said that the closure of the Strait has halted approximately 50 per cent of global fertiliser exports, which could disrupt the sowing season in Asia.
"The escalation of hostilities in the Persian Gulf region has led to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz. The logistics and trade-economic architecture, as well as global energy and food security, are on the brink of collapse," Venediktov said.
He added that it is fraught with "very serious consequences" for countries dependent on imported hydrocarbons, fertilisers, and food.
"Nitrogen additive prices have risen by 30 percent. In the current extremely challenging situation, Russia is ready to act in coordination with its friends, countries of the Global South and East."
"We are ready to extend a helping hand through the supply of agricultural products, fertilisers, and the development of multidisciplinary cooperation," Venediktov said.
 

Dalvinder Singh Grewal

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After Spain, Italy denies US aircraft access to military base​

Source: ANI

Amidst rising tensions in West Asia, Italy has refused the United States access to the Sigonella military base, signalling a cautious approach to international conflicts and prioritising national sovereignty.
Super Hornets

IMAGE: US Navy's F/A-18 Super Hornets aboard USS Abraham Lincoln prepare for a nighttime combat mission during Operation Epic Fury, March 25, 2026. Photograph: @CENTCOM/X

Key Points​

  • Italy denied the US military use of the Sigonella base for flights to West Asia due to a lack of consultation and concerns over flight purposes.
  • The Italian government, led by Giorgia Meloni, has expressed a desire to avoid escalation and remain neutral in regional conflicts.
  • Italian Defence Minister Guido Crosetto acknowledged the 'powerlessness' of European allies in preventing attacks on Iran.
  • Spain has also closed its airspace and military bases to US planes involved in potential attacks related to the conflict.
  • The Italian government will seek parliamentary authorisation for any future requests regarding the use of Italian military facilities by foreign powers.
Italian Defence Minister Guido Crosetto on Monday (local time) denied the United States the use of Sigonella base.
The denial came after Italy came to know of the flight plan of some US air assets, which involved landing at Sigonella before heading to West Asia, according to Italian newspaper La Repubblica.

However, according to the Italian newspaper, no one had requested any authorisation or consulted Italian military leaders regarding the use. The newspaper reported that the plan had in fact been communicated while the planes were already in flight.
According to La Repubblica, the checks revealed that these were not normal or logistical flights and therefore were not covered by the treaty with Italy.

Italy PM Says 'We're Not At War'​

Meanwhile, in early March, Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni said in an interview with RTL radio that, "We're not at war. We don't want to go to war."
According to Politico, Crosetto (Italian Defence Minister) himself conceded the "powerlessness" of America's European allies in a parliamentary debate.
He admitted the attack on Iran had "certainly occurred outside the rules of international law" but added no government, European or otherwise, could have prevented the strikes.
Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni's government has said it would seek parliamentary authorisation should any such requests be made.

Spain Shuts Airspace To US Planes​

Earlier, Spain had closed its airspace to US planes involved in attacks on Iran.
"We will not authorise the use of Morón and Rota (military bases) for any acts related to the war in Iran," Italy's Defence Minister Margarita Robles has said, adding that Spain had "made this clear to the American government from the beginning."
Foreign Affairs Minister José Manuel Albares stated that the aim of the decision was to "not do anything that could encourage an escalation in this war."
 

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Trump willing to end war without reopening Hormuz: WSJ​

Source: PTI March 31, 2026 10:42 IST

President Trump is reportedly considering ending the US military operation against Iran despite the continued closure of the Strait of Hormuz, a critical chokepoint for global energy supplies.
  • President Trump is considering ending the US military operation against Iran, even with the Strait of Hormuz remaining closed.
  • The US aimed to weaken Iran's navy and missile capabilities within a four-to-six-week timeline.
  • If diplomatic efforts fail, the US may ask European and Gulf allies to lead the effort to reopen the Strait of Hormuz.
  • The White House suggests Arab countries could share the financial burden of the military operation in Iran.
  • The Strait of Hormuz, a vital shipping lane, is effectively closed, disrupting global energy supplies.
US President Donald Trump has told his aides that he's willing to end the military operation against Iran even if the Strait of Hormuz remains largely closed, leaving the campaign to reopen it for a later date, The Wall Street Journal reported, citing administration officials.
In recent days, Trump and his aides assessed that a mission to pry open the chokepoint would push the conflict beyond his timeline of four to six weeks, the Daily said in a report.
According to the report, Trump decided that the US should achieve its main goals of hobbling Iran's navy and its missile stocks and wind down current hostilities while pressuring Tehran diplomatically to resume the free flow of trade.
If that fails, Washington would press allies in Europe and the Gulf to take the lead on reopening the strait, the WSJ said, quoting officials.

White House Stance​

At a media briefing on Monday, White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt said the president and the chief of the Pentagon have always stated a four to six-week estimated timeline for the military operation.
"We're on day 30 today," she said.
Leavitt also indicated that the Arab countries can be asked to share the burden of the military operation in Iran.
"I think it's something the president would be quite interested in. I won't get ahead of him on that, but certainly it's an idea, something that I think you'll hear more from him on," she said to a question of whether countries such as Kuwait, the UAE and Saudi Arabia should pick up the tab for the Iran operation.

Strait of Hormuz Closure​

Starting February 28, the US and Israel launched joint strikes against Iran, which in turn retaliated, spreading the war to the entire Gulf region. The Strait of Hormuz is a strategically important choke point for the world's energy supplies.
The strait, a narrow shipping lane that connects the Persian Gulf with the Indian Ocean, remains effectively closed, bringing to a near halt the transit of hundreds of vessels per day, including container, dry bulk and liquid cargo ships.
 

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The Gulf War: What's Pakistan Up To?​


March 31, 2026 14:33 IST
Egypt, Pakistan, Saudi Arabia and Turkey met in Islamabad in what analysts say is the formal opening of a new diplomatic formation that could reshape the post-war regional order.
Their immediate goal is a ceasefire; their larger ambition is to ensure that neither Iran nor Israel emerges from this war in a dominant position.
Pakistan's foreign minister then flew directly to Beijing and mooted a Chinese role as guarantor of any eventual agreement.

An Iranian cleric walks past a residential building in Tehran, March 30, 2026 damaged by a strike

IMAGE: An Iranian cleric walks past a residential building in Tehran, March 30, 2026 damaged by a strike. Photograph: Majid Asgaripour/WANA (West Asia News Agency) via Reuters

It begins, as such things often do, with a list.
Secretary of State Marco Rubio listed the objectives (external link) of the war.
'Write it down,' he said, signaling that this was the real McCoy:
  1. The destruction of Iran's air force.
  2. Its navy.
  3. The severe diminishing of its missile capability.
  4. The destruction of its factories.
Car wrecks and a residential building in Tehran, March 30, 2026

IMAGE: Car wrecks and a residential building in Tehran, March 30, 2026. Photograph: Majid Asgaripour/WANA (West Asia News Agency) via Reuters
It was war, reduced to neat bullet points in typical corporate fashion -- a to-do list that is finite, and measurable. And surprising, as much for what it left out as for what it included: No mention of nuclear weapons, of the Strait of Hormuz, of regime change.
A little later in the same interaction, Rubio also said that Iran has to stop producing drones and missiles -- an extension of his third point in the list.
Basically, he was telling a country that had been attacked twice in less than 12 months that it had to stop producing the means to defend itself.
And then it got worse. White House spokesperson Karoline Leavitt explained (external link) that Iranian leaders were killed because they 'lied' in negotiations.
She said it matter of fact, as though the assassination of international leaders (a war crime in its own right) was a corrective to diplomacy.
For his part, President Trump dispensed with even that thin layer of restraint.
In a Truth Social post, Trump threatened (external link) to 'obliterate' Iran's electric grids, oil infrastructure, Kharg Island, even desalination plants, if a deal is not reached.
Not as a military necessity, but as retribution if Iran didn't give him a face-saving way out, and uncaring that he was openly threatening to commit even more war crimes. [Axios (external link)]

Key Points

  • US outlines limited war goals, but escalating strikes on infrastructure signal broader, uncontrolled conflict dynamics in the region.
  • Strait of Hormuz disruption threatens global oil supply, with shipping impacted and energy prices surging sharply worldwide.
  • US increasingly isolated as allies avoid direct involvement, forcing Washington to manage a conflict it cannot fully control.
  • India faces significant risk with heavy crude import dependence on Hormuz, alongside rising fertiliser costs and remittance vulnerability.

Rubio War Objectives Explained​

Rubio was attempting to portray that the war is limited, with precise objectives and a finite end point. His list is clean, but the war is not.
Energy infrastructure is already in the crosshairs. Strikes on Iran's South Pars gas field have disrupted production and sent global prices surging (external link), while retaliatory attacks have spread across Gulf facilities.
At the same time, the Strait of Hormuz, through which a fifth of the world's oil flows, remains choked, with shipping disrupted and global markets reeling.
Even the IMF now warns of a shock rippling through the global economy as energy flows freeze. [Reuters (external link)]
Fuel prices surge US station

IMAGE: A woman reacts inside her brother's home in Tehran, March 30, 2026, which was damaged by a strike. Photograph: Majid Asgaripour/WANA (West Asia News Agency) via Reuters

Hormuz Crisis Disrupts Oil Flows​

Alongside all of this, the past 24 hours brought another shift in the architecture of the conflict.
Israel, which set this train wreck in motion and which has, at key moments, deliberately escalated when Washington appeared to be searching for an off-ramp, has made clear it will not commit ground forces to the Gulf.
Coupled with the European nations flatly stating that they want no part of this, it means the United States finds itself prosecuting a war it did not script, on terms it does not control, all by itself.
That, more than anything else, likely explains Trump's unhinged Truth Social post -- the act of a bully who finds that his bullying is not working, but knows no other way. Write that down.

US Military Build-Up in Gulf​

The Hormuz retreat: Trump is willing to wind down the military campaign even if the Strait of Hormuz remains largely closed, administration officials told the Wall Street Journal, thus leaving the reopening problem for diplomacy, allies, or a later date.
The 82nd Airborne is being deployed, the USS Tripoli has entered the region, and Trump is still weighing seizing Iran's uranium stockpile, but Hormuz itself is no longer a core military objective.
Rubio put it plainly to Al Jazeera: Once the current campaign wraps, it will be 'up to Iran to decide', or a coalition of nations.
The Brookings Institution's Suzanne Maloney called ending operations before the Strait reopens 'unbelievably irresponsible'. She is not wrong.
A fifth of the world's oil flows through that waterway; 84 per cent of it goes to Asian markets. 'Write it down' -- and then quietly cross it off? [WSJ (external link)]
Haifa refinery blaze

IMAGE: A blaze erupts at Israel's oil refineries in Haifa after debris from an intercepted Iranian missile struck the site, March 30, 2026. Photograph: Reuters/Handout

Iran Tanker Attack Near Dubai​

The tanker attack and what it signals: Iran struck the Al-Salmi, a Kuwait-flagged VLCC fully loaded with crude, in the anchorage area 31 nautical miles northwest of Dubai, making this the closest attack yet to a major Gulf port.
There is the possibility of an oil spill in surrounding waters.
All 24 crew members survived. Oil jumped nearly 4 per cent on the news, toward $107 a barrel.
The attack is significant for its geography: Iran is now reaching into the UAE's doorstep, demonstrating both range and intent.
The Al-Salmi had been in the Gulf since late February, using its Chinese cargo and Kuwaiti flag as protection. Neither seems to have helped. [Bloomberg (external link)]
Persian Gulf map

IMAGE: A historical map of the Persian Gulf highlighting its strategic importance as a global energy and trade corridor. Photograph: Kind courtesy Verride/wikipedia.org/Creative Commons
The Houthis fire, and what they didn't do: After 30 days of promising to enter the fight, the Houthis launched a single ballistic missile at southern Israel. Israel intercepted it.
The modest nature of the attack tells you more than the launch itself: A movement that spent two years disrupting global shipping sat through the killing of Khamenei and the decimation of the IRGC's command structure before producing one intercepted missile.
The Houthis still have not touched a single American vessel, the Saudi Yanbu pipeline continues to flow at full capacity, and the timing -- the same day Pakistan announced ceasefire talks -- reads as a political statement more than an operational decision.
Meanwhile, their supply chain is under serious pressure: The Bandar Abbas pipeline has been hit, weapons interdiction has been aggressive, and their missile failure rate runs above a third.
They can still launch, but cannot sustain a campaign. [Stimson Centre/Fatima Abo Alasrar (external link)]
Pakistan Saudi talks

IMAGE: Saudi Foreign Minister Prince Faisal bin Farhan Al-Saud meets Pakistan Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif in Islamabad to discuss de-escalation, March 29, 2026. Photograph: Pakistan Ministry of Foreign Affairs/Reuters
The Islamabad quartet: Egypt, Pakistan, Saudi Arabia and Turkey met in Islamabad in what analysts say is the formal opening of a new diplomatic formation that could reshape the post-war regional order.
Their immediate goal is a ceasefire; their larger ambition is to ensure that neither Iran nor Israel emerges from this war in a dominant position.
The meeting produced one modest confidence-building measure: Iran agreed to allow Pakistani-flagged vessels through the Strait, possibly two per day.
Pakistan's foreign minister then flew directly to Beijing and mooted a Chinese role as guarantor of any eventual agreement.
Turkey's intelligence chief, İbrahim Kalın, put the stakes plainly: The war's real objective, he argued, is to lay the groundwork for decades of conflict among the region's foundational nations.
Saudi Arabia's presence in the quartet is the most intriguing element: Riyadh has reportedly been privately urging Washington to finish the job but is clearly keeping its options open. [The Guardian (external link)]
Washington: the hollow core: Lawrence Freedman spent a week in Washington and found an administration running on narrative rather than analysis.
The National Security Council is barely staffed. The State Department echoes with empty corridors.
Secretary of State Marco Rubio is making decisions without the professional assessments that should inform them.
Secretary of War (a designation that takes some getting used to) Pete Hegseth brings the perspective of a disgruntled junior officer to a theatre that requires much more knowledge and gravitas.
And Trump, Freedman observed, increasingly inhabits an alternative reality: One with a consistent internal logic (America is strong, adversaries always bend, critics are malign) that simply has no connection to what is happening on the ground.
Vice President J D Vance, who reportedly knows this is a disaster, stays silent and waits. [Lawrence Freedman/Substack (external link)]
Russia: The unintended beneficiary: Putin has not had to do much this month.
The closure of Hormuz sent Brent past $100; Russia's Urals blend, which had been selling at a $10-$13 discount, flipped to a premium.
Moscow has reportedly dropped plans for significant budget cuts.
The US temporarily eased sanctions on Russian crude to stabilise energy markets, and the Kremlin thanked Washington for the alignment of interests.
Patriot interceptors are being considered for diversion from Ukraine to Gulf allies.
Russia is sharing intelligence with Tehran on US force locations. And a sanctioned Russian tanker docked in Cuba, with Trump's blessing, after quiet US-Russia coordination.
As one analyst put it: Each calibrated action reinforces a narrative of Russian resilience and indispensability, and Moscow knows Trump cannot stay insensitive to it.
The question worth asking, as the month closes, is whether the pattern is a coincidence. [Bobby Ghosh/Substack (external link)]
The Gaza doctrine, exported: A detailed accounting in the New York Review of Books traces what it calls the Gaza doctrine now being applied in Iran and Lebanon: mass displacement, mass destruction of civilian infrastructure, systematic dismantling of health infrastructure.
US-Israeli strikes have damaged 236 health facilities in Iran; Lebanon's health ministry has documented at least 128 Israeli strikes on medical facilities and ambulances in the south alone.
Israel has, in some instances, used ambulances and medical uniforms as cover for military operations, which ironically is the precise war crime it routinely accuses its adversaries of.
The piece places this in the context of a broader collapse of the post-war international legal order, accelerated by an administration that has explicitly rejected the framework.
'No quarter, no mercy,' Hegseth said. [New York Review of Books (external link)]
Israeli rescue personnel at the impact site following Iranian missile barrages in central Israel, March 28, 2026

IMAGE: Israeli rescue personnel at the impact site following Iranian missile barrages in central Israel, March 28, 2026. Photograph: Ammar Awad/Reuters
The meme war: Iran is winning the global information war, and America built the weapons it is losing to.
A sharp piece from Coda traces how Tehran has deployed AI-generated propaganda, calibrated separately for US, regional, and third-country audiences.
with a sophistication that exploits the very tools American tech companies made available to the world.
The insight behind the Iranian operation is that the currency of visual information has already been debased; the returns on traditional disinformation are diminishing; and what works now is culturally fluent synthetic content that foregrounds its own artificiality.
Meanwhile, the US has dismantled its own counter-propaganda architecture: The Stanford Internet Observatory is gone, Trust and Safety teams have been disbanded, the Global Engagement Center shuttered. Baghdad Bob, the piece notes, is barely distinguishable from Karoline Leavitt. [Coda/Nicholas Dawes (external link)]
People queue to refill their LPG cylinders outside a gas agency in Patna, March 29, 2026

IMAGE: People queue to refill their LPG cylinders outside a gas agency in Patna, March 29, 2026. Photograph: ANI Photo

India Faces Energy Supply Risk​

India's exposure: Two dashboards are worth bookmarking for a live read on India's position: The Takshashila Institute's India Risk Matrix and The Core's India Energy Crisis Dashboard, which tracks Brent, WTI, the rupee, fuel prices, fertilizer supply disruption, strategic petroleum reserve levels, and Gulf diaspora remittance risk in real time.
The structural numbers are already alarming: 87 per cent of India's crude is imported, 60 per cent of it transiting Hormuz.
Petronet's force majeure on LNG is active following damage to Qatar's Ras Laffan facility.
Fertiliser supply chains from Oman, Saudi Arabia and Iran are disrupted, with Kharif season input costs up 12 to 18 per cent.
Gold imports in January ran 349 per cent above year-ago levels as households moved to safety.
Over 9 million Indians work in GCC countries; Gulf remittances, the largest share of India's total inflows, are at risk if the conflict extends another quarter.
New Delhi's diplomatic tightrope is becoming harder to hold as the economic pressure compounds. [Takshashila (external link); The Core (external link)]
Trump, Iran and the Shadow of Suez: The most useful historical frame in circulation right now comes from Ishan Tharoor, ex of the Washington Post and now writing occasional pieces for The New Yorker.
Suez 1956: Israel moved fast, Britain and France joined in, the embattled regime closed a critical shipping lane, and the whole thing exposed the declining power of the states that launched it.
The parallel is not perfect, but it is uncomfortably close, and the grimmer version is what Suez revealed about Britain's place in the world.
Tharoor asks whether the Iran war is doing the same for America. [The New Yorker (external link)]
Refusing Battle: Douglas Macgregor in Armed Forces Journal has republished a 2009 essay that reads as if written last week.
The argument: Direct American military involvement in conflicts where the US itself is not attacked and its national prosperity is not at risk should be avoided, because it creates the very regional alliances designed to contain American power that would not otherwise exist.
Lee at Gettysburg is the through-line. And while on this, read David Smith in The Guardian who frames this as two regimes, each constructing its own reality, now engaged in a 'battle of the titans'. [Douglas Macgregor (external link); The Guardian (external link)]
In closing...
Marco Rubio told us to write it down. Donald Trump told us what will happen if talks fail.
Between those two lies the gulf between a war as imagined, and a war as it is actually unfolding.
Making a list is the easy part; it is everything outside of the bullet points that will dictate what comes next.
 

Dalvinder Singh Grewal

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'Will be leaving Iran very soon' — Trump says US could 'end war in two to three weeks'​

The monthlong war between the US, Israel, and Iran-backed forces is intensifying. US President Donald Trump has warned Iran of severe strikes on energy and civilian infrastructure if no deal is reached soon, while Iran denies any negotiations are taking place. Meanwhile, Israel’s military operations in southern Lebanon target Hezbollah, killing UN peacekeepers and civilians.

The war is also affecting global energy prices and trade. The Czech Republic plans to release 100,000 metric tons of oil from reserves, while US gasoline prices continue to rise. Residents in Tehran are living under strict security, power outages, and internet blackouts, showing the civilian impact of the ongoing conflict. The situation remains fluid, with both diplomatic and military developments shaping the next phase of this volatile war.

Amid the uncertainties, The Wall Street Journal, citing US officials, reported that President Donald Trump has told his aides he is prepared to end the war in Iran even if the strategic Strait of Hormuz remains mostly closed. According to the report, Trump and his team have concluded that attempting to forcibly reopen the chokepoint could extend the conflict well beyond his preferred timeline of four to six weeks.

Key Points:

Four Israeli soldiers killed in south Lebanon
Thousands march in Iran's Karaj backing the government.
Trump claims talks with Iran’s parliamentary speaker; Iran denies any negotiations.
Israel’s actions in southern Lebanon have killed three UN peacekeepers and increased civilian casualties to over 1,240.
A Kuwaiti oil tanker was struck by a drone near Dubai; all crew members survived.
Gulf allies urge the US to maintain military pressure on Iran, with some pushing for a ground invasion.
NATO and regional air defences intercepted missiles from Iran targeting Turkey and Saudi Arabia.
04:31 (IST) Apr 01
'Not for us': Trump says Hormuz security on allies, US may end Iran attacks in weeks
US President Donald Trump on Tuesday said securing the Strait of Hormuz is “not for us,” insisting that responsibility should fall on countries that rely on the crucial waterway.

He also indicated that US military operations against Iran could conclude within two to three weeks.

Speaking to reporters, Trump said there was “no reason for us to do this,” adding that nations like France and others using the strait should take the lead.

Earlier in the day, he also criticised US allies for not doing enough to support American efforts in the ongoing conflict with Iran.

04:24 (IST) Apr 01
'Very Soon': Trump says US could end Iran operations within weeks

US President Donald Trump said American forces could wind down operations in Iran “very soon,” suggesting a timeline of two to three weeks as Washington continues talks with Tehran while maintaining its aerial campaign.

Speaking at a White House event, Trump said that once the US leaves, “they’ll come tumbling down,” adding that forces are “finishing the job” and could withdraw within “maybe two weeks, maybe a couple of days longer.”

02:42 (IST) Apr 01
Iran-Israel war: 'Go get your own oil' - Trump tells nations as Iran tightens grip on Hormuz
US President Donald Trump said countries concerned about rising fuel prices should “go get your own oil,” as Iran continues to exert control over the strategically vital Strait of Hormuz.

The ongoing US-Israeli conflict with Iran has disrupted global supplies of oil and natural gas, triggering volatility in international energy markets and raising concerns over further price spikes. Meanwhile, Iran’s Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said the Strait could become a “peaceful waterway” after the war, adding that its future would be decided by Iran and Oman, even as tensions remain high over the vital shipping route.

02:32 (IST) Apr 01
Iran War News: US aware of Baghdad kidnapping of American journalist; says it issued prior warning
The United States is aware of the reported kidnapping of an American journalist in Baghdad, Iraq, a state department official said, noting that the individual had previously been warned about threats to their safety.

In a post on X, Assistant Secretary for Global Public Affairs Dylan Johnson said the department had fulfilled its duty to alert the journalist and is now coordinating with the FBI to secure their release as quickly as possible.
01:26 (IST) Apr 01
'Trust level is zero’: Araghchi says Iran has no faith in talks with US
Iran’s foreign minister, Abbas Araghchi, said that Tehran has no trust in negotiations with the United States, stating that past engagements have yielded negative outcomes.

Speaking to Al Jazeera, he said Iran has “never had a good experience” dealing with Washington, citing the US withdrawal from a previous agreement and alleging that recent talks were followed by attacks.

"The reality is we have never had a good experience from negotiations with the US. One time, years ago, we negotiated, and we even got a deal, and then the US withdrew without any explanation. And twice last year and now this year, we negotiated with the US, and the result was an attack by them," he said.

“The trust level is at zero,” Araghchi said, adding, "We do not have any faith that negotiations with the US will yield any results. We don’t see honesty.”

01:22 (IST) Apr 01
'Iran, Oman to decide fate of Strait of Hormuz': Iranian FM Abbas Araghchi
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said the Strait of Hormuz could become a “peaceful waterway” once the war ends, emphasizing that its future would be decided by Iran and Oman.

Speaking to Al Jazeera, he said, "What will happen after the war, that’s something that will be for Iran and Oman to decide."

He added that regional and international partners would also be taken into account, expressing hope that the strategic passage could be used peacefully by vessels from countries around the world.

He said, "And we will take into consideration our friends in the region and beyond the region," he continued. “In our opinion, the Strait of Hormuz can be a peaceful waterway for peaceful use by vessels from countries around the world."
 

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  • President Donald Trump signed an executive order aimed at restricting mail-in voting, claiming it is necessary to prevent "massive cheating" in elections.
  • The order purports to ban the United States Postal Service from sending absentee ballots to voters not on a list established by the Department of Homeland Security.
  • It also directs the Department of Justice to prosecute state election officials who use their own voter rolls instead of the federal list when sending out ballots.
  • Election law experts and voting rights advocates have widely condemned the order as unconstitutional, with some state officials pledging to sue to block its enforcement.
  • Trump's action comes as his approval rating has hit new lows and his party faces anticipated losses in upcoming elections, continuing his history of making unsubstantiated claims about widespread voter fraud.
 
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