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Iran crsis

Dalvinder Singh Grewal

Writer
Historian
SPNer
Jan 3, 2010
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The crackdown on protests in Iran has resulted in multiple deaths and an internet blackout. Protests in Iran over the country’s economic conditions, which broke out in late December 2025, have snowballed into a broader challenge to the clerical rulers who have governed Iran since the 1979 Islamic Revolution.
Protests broke out over soaring prices in Iran on December 28, 2025, after the rial plunged to a record low against the United States dollar in late December.
The protest started with shopkeepers in Tehran’s Grand Bazaar, who shuttered their shops and began demonstrating. It then spread to other provinces of Iran.
On Monday, the rial was trading at more than 1.4 million to $1, a sharp decline from around 700,000 a year earlier in January 2025 and around 900,000 in mid-2025. The plummeting currency has triggered steep inflation, with food prices an average of 72 percent higher than last year. Annual inflation is currently around 40 percent.
Iran’s economy is ailing for several reasons. The country fought a 12-day war with Israel in June 2025, which resulted in infrastructural damage in several Iranian cities.
Additionally, in September 2025, the United Nations re-imposed sanctions on Iran over its nuclear program when the UN Security Council voted against permanently lifting economic sanctions on Iran.
In December, Iran introduced a new tier in its national fuel subsidy system, effectively raising the price of what had been some of the world’s cheapest petrol or gasoline and adding to the financial strain on households.

Officials will now reassess fuel prices every three months, opening the door to further hikes. At the same time, food prices are set to climb after the Central Bank recently scrapped a preferential, subsidized interest rate.

While chants by protesters initially focused on the ailing economy, they have switched to opposition to the clerical establishment in Iran. Some protesters have also begun chanting in support of Reza Pehlvi, the exiled son of deposed Shah of Iran Mohammad Reza Pahlavi and the heir to the former Pahlavi monarchy.
Many supporters of Pahlavi are calling for a return to the monarchy, although Pahlavi himself says he favours holding a referendum to determine what type of government structure Iranians want.
After Mohammad Mosaddegh, Iran’s prime minister who was democratically elected in 1951, nationalized the British-controlled oil industry in Iran, he was overthrown in a 1953 coup backed by the US and the United Kingdom to secure Western oil interests. A repressive royal rule was reinstated until 1979, when Mohammad Reza Pahlavi, the last shah of Iran, fled the country as the Islamic revolution took hold. He died in Egypt in 1980.
“There were chants in his [Pahlavi’s] support on the streets of Iran, among other chants in this round of protests. Demands for democracy and opposition to the Islamic government’s strict laws have been building for some time, especially since the death of Mahsa Amini, 22, in police custody in 2022.
In September 2022, Amini was arrested in Tehran by Iran’s notorious morality police for alleged non-compliance with Iran’s strict dress code. She was taken to a re-education center, where she collapsed. She died in the hospital a few days later.

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here are the protests happening?
The initial protests were staged by shopkeepers in Tehran angered by rising prices. However, protests have now become more widespread. A large, fragmented opposition base is emerging both inside Iran and within Iranian diaspora communities in other countries.
Iran’s Fars News Agency said “limited” demonstrations were held on Sunday night in Tehran’s Navvab and Saadat Abad neighborhoods.

Protesters also gathered in the cities of Hafshejan and Junqan in the southwestern province of Chaharmahal and Bakhtiari, and a separate rally took place in Taybad county in the northeastern province of Razavi Khorasan.
Fars reported that security forces moved in and broke up those gatherings, while the rest of the country’s cities and provinces remained calm overnight.
Protests have also spread to other countries where there are significant Iranian communities, including the US, UK, Germany, France, Turkiye, and Pakistan, in solidarity with the protesters in Iran.

More than 100 security personnel have been killed in recent days, state media has reported, while opposition activists say the death toll is higher and includes hundreds of protesters. However, independent verification is awaited.
Experts fear that the death toll could be far higher. “Minimal news that makes it out of the total internet shutdown signifies that thousands of citizens might have been killed by government forces,” Alemzadeh said.
It remains unclear whether the internet was actively blocked by the government. However, in a post on social media on Thursday, NetBlocks said the blackout follows “a series of escalating digital censorship measures targeting protests across the country and hinders the public’s right to communicate at a critical moment”.
Iran’s Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi told foreign diplomats in Tehran on Monday that the internet would soon be restored in Iran, adding that the government was coordinating with the security establishment on the issue. The foreign minister said connectivity would also be restored to embassies and government ministries.

Since protests began in December, US President Donald Trump has repeatedly threatened that Washington could intervene militarily in Iran if there is a violent crackdown. Araghchi alleged that nationwide protests have “turned violent and bloody to give an excuse” for Trump to intervene militarily. Trump warns of 'very strong options' amid Iran unrest. He added that Trump’s warning of military action against Tehran should ‌protests turn ‌violent had motivated “terrorists” ⁠to target protesters and security forces ‌to encourage foreign intervention. “We are ready for war but also for dialogue,” he said. Araghchi also said that the Iranian authorities have gathered video footage of weapons being distributed to protesters, adding that they will soon release confessions from detainees.​

The demonstrations had been “stoked and fuelled” by foreign elements, he said, noting security forces would “hunt down” those responsible.

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Mossad agents are “hiding among Iranian demonstrators.”
Alemzadeh said an uprising could escalate in Iran if protesters’ demands are not addressed.
“Protesters have been faced with repression that is unprecedented in brutality, even with the Islamic Republic’s notorious standard,” she said.
She added: “The grievances, however, are not going to be quieted this time around.”
Alemzadeh said that life for many in Iran has become intolerable under the current economic conditions, which many see as caused by corruption, mismanagement, and international sanctions. Additionally, Iranians have been denied freedom of speech and lifestyle for decades, she added.
“Even if this round of protests is repressed by extreme violence, another could emerge in no time until a radical shift occurs,” she said.
“This might be initiated domestically by factions of the political elite, by marginalizing [Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali] Khamenei and destroying the oligarchic economy, effectively abandoning the ‘Islamic’ part of the republic and its beneficiaries, or through US/Israeli intervention, which is likely to lead to chaos and more—but perhaps different—grievances for Iranians.”
 

Dalvinder Singh Grewal

Writer
Historian
SPNer
Jan 3, 2010
1,777
443
80
India is mulling various options on its engagement in the development of the strategically located Chabahar port in Iran against the backdrop of the Trump administration threatening a 25 percent additional tariff on countries doing business with Tehran.

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IMAGE: A view of the Chabahar port in Iran. Photograph: Courtesy @India_in_Iran/X
India is a major partner in the development of the Chabahar port, located in the Sistan-Balochistan province on Iran's southern coast.

In September last year, the US imposed crippling economic sanctions on Iran but had granted India a six-month exemption from the punitive measures on the Chabahar port project. The waiver will come to an end on April 26.

External Affairs Ministry spokesperson Randhir Jaiswal on Friday said New India is engaged with the US on the issue.

His remarks in answering a question came amid reports that New Delhi is looking at withdrawing from it in view of fresh American tariffs on nations having trade relations with Iran.

"As you are aware, on October 28, the US Department of Treasury had issued a letter outlining the guidance on the conditional sanctions waiver valid till April 26, 2026. We remain engaged with the US side in working out this arrangement," Jaiswal said.

Jaiswal also mentioned India's long-standing relations with Iran and said New Delhi is closely following the evolving situation in the country. Iran has been witnessing massive anti-government protests in which over 2,500 people were killed.

It is learned that India is in the process of transferring approximately $120 million—the amount it committed for the project—as part of a move to end its direct exposure to the Chabahar port project, people familiar with the matter said.

A possibility to create a new entity to carry forward the development of the Chabahar port is also being considered, they said.

This option will end the Indian government's exposure to the project, but in a way it will ensure continuation of New Delhi's support, the people explained.

In September last year, the Trump administration announced its decision to revoke the 2018 sanctions waiver with regard to the Chabahar port in Iran.

Weeks after announcing the revocation of the sanctions, Washington said it is extending a six-month waiver from the punitive measures to India.

As tensions between Washington and Tehran escalated again, President Donald Trump announced a fresh 25 percent tariff on countries doing business with Iran.

The new tariff is likely to have a "minimal impact" on India, government sources said on Tuesday.
Jaiswal said the volume of two-way trade between India and Iran was $1.6 billion last year. Out of the total, India's exports were to the tune of $1.2 billion, and imports were $0.4 billion.

The Chabahar port is being developed by India and Iran to boost connectivity and trade ties. Both the countries are also strongly pitching for making Chabahar Port an integral part of the International North-South Transport Corridor (INSTC).

The INSTC is a 7,200-km-long multi-mode transport project for moving freight among India, Iran, Afghanistan, Armenia, Azerbaijan, Russia, Central Asia, and Europe.

Jaiswal also said that the Indian embassy in Tehran is in touch with the Indians in Iran.

"We are keeping a close watch on the situation there, and as far as our citizens are concerned, we are committed to doing whatever is necessary for their well-being," he said.

"Approximately 9,000 of our citizens are currently residing in Iran. The majority of them are students," he said.

India has already issued a number of advisories to the Indian nationals in view of the current situation in that country.

"In these advisories, we have advised our citizens in India not to travel to Iran at this time, and we have advised Indian citizens residing in Iran to leave the country by whatever means are available," he said.

India on Wednesday asked all its nationals currently residing in Iran to leave by available means after the security situation deteriorated further.

New Delhi also strongly advised its nationals to avoid travelling to Iran.

There have been rising tensions in Iran and the region after US President Donald Trump indicated military action if Tehran continues its crackdown on the protesters.

"If they hang them, you're going to see some things... We will take very strong action if they do such a thing," the US president told CBS News.

In a message to the protesters, Trump said on Tuesday that "help is on the way."

The protests began late last month in Tehran after the Iranian currency rial plunged to record lows. The protests have since spread to all 31 provinces, evolving from an agitation against economic woes to a demand for political change.
 

Dalvinder Singh Grewal

Writer
Historian
SPNer
Jan 3, 2010
1,777
443
80
Iran has rejected United States allegations that it is preparing attacks on American facilities, alleging that Washington, DC is attempting to escalate tensions in West Asia, Iranian state broadcaster Press TV reported.
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IMAGE: A demonstrator holds a burning paper depicting Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, while protesters gather outside the Iranian embassy in London in support of the Iranian people, on January 17, 2026. Photograph: Isabel Infantes/Reuters
Iran's foreign ministry spokesman, Esmaeil Baghaei, made the remarks on Saturday after the US State Department, in a Persian-language post on X, claimed it had received reports indicating Iran was working on options to target American bases.
"These statements and claims are in line with the United States' ongoing policy of fueling tensions in the region," Baghaei said, as cited by the state broadcaster.

Baghaei also said the Iranian Armed Forces remain focused on preserving and boosting the country's military and defensive capabilities to safeguard Iran's sovereignty.
He further warned Iran would respond 'firmly and decisively' to any act of aggression, Press TV reported.
In its post, the US State Department claimed that 'all options remain on the table' and that any attack on US assets would be met with 'very, very strong force.'
Press TV also reported that protests that began late last month over economic concerns across Iran later turned violent, with vandalism and disorder encouraged through public statements by US and Israeli figures.
It added that during the unrest, foreign-backed mercenaries attacked cities, resulting in the deaths of security personnel and civilians, along with damage to public property.
The US president has repeatedly threatened military action against Iran, Press TV reported.
On Saturday, Leader of the Islamic Revolution Ayatollah Seyyed Ali Khamenei said Iran considers Trump the main culprit for the killings and destruction in the riots.
He said some agents behind the unrest included individuals who were identified, trained, and largely recruited by American and Israeli agencies.
Source: ANI
 
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